Foren & Soziale Netzwerke zur TRADE DESK Aktie

 

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- NASDAQ:TTD is no longer the high flying market darling - Growth has been coming down from high 30s to 20s and now to high teens. This calls for lowering multiple Fundamentally, Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 0.82 | 1.09 | 1.41 | 1.89 eps% | -49.61% | 32.28% | 29.08% | 34.47% - This year eps is negative and in the future it's growing again therefore 2025 is a good year to accumulate NASDAQ:TTD at or close to fair value. - A company growing eps 30%+ deserves a forward p/e of 30 as a base case - Fair stock value (base case) with forward p/e of 30 Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 fair value | 24.6 | 32.7 | 42.3 | 56 - Fair stock value (bull case) with forward p/e of 40 Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 fair value | 32 | 43 | 56 | 75 - Fair stock value (bear case) with forward p/e of 20 Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 fair value | 16 | 21 | 28 | 37.8 - Personally, I have started accumulating but ideally want to add significantly in that accumulation box I have highlighted in the ch

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Pretty straight forward in the face setup. Here are pros- +Got added to s&p500 +massive volume shelf from multi year above 80 which we are above +beautiful gap from q1 2025 to ride from $85 to $120 ++Relative strength strong vs spy for 55 period(thats what I use) +++ $100 Psych level is a MAGNET - it will pull !! cons- -200sma above that cleanlu aligns with a multi month resistance and 0.5 fib from ATH to bottom in april 25 -- If software earnings are poopy then definitely bumpy ride up but all software names and cybersecurity names are all having good chart pattenrs meaning earning is good for q2 and all want to pop How to play- +Sized up and risk that gap below neat 21ema +take 60% off at 200sma + watch behavior if flags next day add back in else ride to the 0.5 fib in the gap +take 30% off at $100 +ride the rest to $120 or untill 21 breaks (IF IF IF 9ema holds steady then keep runners) Today is 7/23/2025 so lets see what tomorrow brings- Good luck if get on the train but manage risk first everything el

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