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06.04.26 - 17:12
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Key Events This Week: CPI, PCE, Durable, FOMC Minutes And More (ZeroHedge)
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Key Events This Week: CPI, PCE, Durable, FOMC Minutes And More
In addition to Iran war developments, this week's economic calendar will focus on the inflation side of the Fed's dual mandate following a solid March employment report. The key data releases this week are the February durable goods report on Tuesday, the February PCE report on Thursday, and the March CPI report on Friday. Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson will deliver a speech on the economic outlook on Tuesday. The minutes to the FOMC's March meeting will be released on Wednesday.
Briefly recapping the latest employment data, both headline (+178k vs. -133k) and private (+186 vs. -129k) payrolls far exceeded consensus expectations. To be sure, the rebound from strike- and weather-related weakness in February payrolls was somewhat less impressive due to the downtick in average hourly earnings (+0.2% vs. +0.4%) and hours worked (34.2hrs vs. 34.3hrs). The same can be said of the surprise decline in the unemployment rate (4.26% ...
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06.04.26 - 17:12
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Prices Jump, Employment Dumps As US ISM Services Disappoints In March (ZeroHedge)
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Prices Jump, Employment Dumps As US ISM Services Disappoints In March
The last six months or so has seen S&P Global's and ISM's Services PMI surveys diverge dramatically (former at three year lows, latter near four year highs).
But, following S&P Global's Services PMI plunge into contraction in March, ISM's Services PMI actually 'agreed' and fell also (but only modestly) from 56.1 to 54.0 (still in expansion but worse than the expected 54.9)...
Source: Bloomberg
Under the hood it was a very mixed bag with a surge in New Orders (highest since Feb 2023 - good), but a simultaneous spike in Prices Paid (highest since August 2022 - bad), and a sudden plunge in Employment (weakest since Dec 2023 - ugly)...
Thirteen industries reported growth in March, one fewer than in February, and the number reporting contraction remained at three.
“The PMI survey data show the US economy buckling under the strain of rising prices and intensifying uncertainty, as the war in the Middle East exacerbates ex...
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06.04.26 - 16:36
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Jamie Dimon says US should strengthen allies economically, in veiled criticism of Trump (The Guardian)
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JP Morgan boss appears to condemn president's tariff regime in annual letter to shareholdersMiddle East crisis – live updatesThe head of America's largest bank has pressed the White House to strengthen America's allies economically in order to “avoid truly adverse consequences”, in the latest instalment of an increasingly testy relationship with the Trump administration.As the Middle East conflict sparked by US and Israeli attacks on Iran enters its sixth week, Jamie Dimon, the chair and chief executive of JP Morgan Chase, said in his annual letter to shareholders that “good” US foreign policy should put America first “though not alone”. Continue reading......
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