Foren & Soziale Netzwerke zur IREN LTD Aktie

 

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IREN is quietly building pressure. For five consecutive sessions, price has been compressing in a tight range, holding above HVL , which already tells us the gamma environment remains supportive . ? ? ** Key Structure ** ? Price holding above HVL ? Tight daily range → volatility compression ? Major call resistance at 60 ? This setup matters because of who is positioned where . In names like IREN, the flow is typically: Retail long calls Dealers short calls, hedging by buying the underlying That dynamic means any sustained move toward — or through — the 60 call resistance can trigger a gamma-driven acceleration , as dealers are forced to add delta on strength rather than fade it. ? ** Options Sentiment ** ? Call pricing skew ~82% ? Calls are significantly richer than puts Options market sentiment is clearly bullish ? ? ** Bottom Line ** ? ? IREN is coiling above HVL with heavy call skew. If price engages the 60 level with momentum, the structure is set up

Earning Date was updated and IREN popped back up to re-test YTD High. Considerations: 1. End of the day got a Double Top rejection right below < $59 but it is holding $50 pretty well until now. 2. A Descending Resistance from last Week's High was beautifully broken which can work as a Descending Support. 3. Breaking down below < 50 can trigger a sell off down to $43-$47 area. Bouncing on the Descending Support until the Earning Date has a clean permission to take the price at least at $45 which is NOT breaking the Cup&Handle pattern created on last mid-November 2025. Holding that area with good earning result on February 05, 2026 can complete this pattern with a bullish upside of 85% ($45 -> $85). This is not a buy/sell advice, shared to back-test a pattern analysis with trends and sheds from fundamental story of the stock.

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NASDAQ:IREN is now forming a rising wedge, a pattern that historically leads to a downside reversal roughly 70% of the time. I'll reassess bear strength once the structure breaks and price confirms.

NASDAQ:IREN — Why I Think the December Low Is Unlikely to Hold (≈75% Probability) Here's why. Yesterday I realized that price is currently moving within a short-term bull channel. 10 years ago, when I was a junior trader at a proprietary trading firm in the Netherlands, my supervisor once asked me: “Which phase are we in?” I answered: “A bull channel.” He replied: “No — this is a bear flag.” At the time, I ignored him because price kept moving higher, and while many traders around me were already short for the next phase (down), I stayed long because price was still rising. That experience taught me a key lesson: ? Bull channels and bear flags behave identically. The psychology feels bullish, but statistically they resolve lower most of the time. Just look back at any chart any time frame, study this pattern objectively, you'll find that roughly 70% of the time the lower trendline breaks to the downside. I started this post with a ~75% probability instead of 70% for two reasons: There is always a scenari

Re-entered my NASDAQ:IREN short at a better price than I got out. Nothing has changed.

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Price breaking out of a descending channel Higher low formed at channel support Reclaiming key VWAP / EMA zone **Key Levels** ~42–43 → decision / reclaim zone ~50–52 → first resistance ~60–62 → higher-timeframe target Longs ONLY if higher timeframes align SPY must confirm (no market divergence) No alignment = **NO TRADE** Above reclaim → momentum expansion possible Back below → move is invalidated

NASDAQ:IREN , still short and just moved my stop to $43.50. High probability we will see low $30's (at least) in the next weeks/months. And as I said before: In 2026 investors will find out that Microsoft's pre payment wasn't enough and board will decide to dump more new shares on investors. Mark this post?

NASDAQ:IREN , bullish end of the week doesn't change bigger picture. High probability of extended (wide) trading range. In 2026 investors will find out that Microsoft's pre payment wasn't enough and board will decide to dump more new shares on investors. Mark this post?

When you get a clear consolidation box (yellow) late in a strong trend after obvious climactic action, that's often where smart money starts taking profits. Go back through any chart, any timeframe – you'll see this pattern repeat over and over.

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This yellow box is not likely to hold since we are this late in trend. First target $30 zone.