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10.01.26 - 15:27
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$IREN, ≈75% Probability the December Low will not hold (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:IREN — Why I Think the December Low Is Unlikely to Hold (≈75% Probability)
Here's why.
Yesterday I realized that price is currently moving within a short-term bull channel. 10 years ago, when I was a junior trader at a proprietary trading firm in the Netherlands, my supervisor once asked me: “Which phase are we in?”
I answered: “A bull channel.”
He replied: “No — this is a bear flag.”
At the time, I ignored him because price kept moving higher, and while many traders around me were already short for the next phase (down), I stayed long because price was still rising. That experience taught me a key lesson:
? Bull channels and bear flags behave identically.
The psychology feels bullish, but statistically they resolve lower most of the time.
Just look back at any chart any time frame, study this pattern objectively, you'll find that roughly 70% of the time the lower trendline breaks to the downside.
I started this post with a ~75% probability instead of 70% for two reasons:
There is always a scenari
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03.01.26 - 04:00
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IREN LONG (TradingView)
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Price breaking out of a descending channel
Higher low formed at channel support
Reclaiming key VWAP / EMA zone
**Key Levels**
~42–43 → decision / reclaim zone
~50–52 → first resistance
~60–62 → higher-timeframe target
Longs ONLY if higher timeframes align
SPY must confirm (no market divergence)
No alignment = **NO TRADE**
Above reclaim → momentum expansion possible
Back below → move is invalidated
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30.12.25 - 16:12
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$IREN High probability we will see low $30's in next weeks/month (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:IREN , still short and just moved my stop to $43.50.
High probability we will see low $30's (at least) in the next weeks/months.
And as I said before:
In 2026 investors will find out that Microsoft's pre payment wasn't enough and board will decide to dump more new shares on investors. Mark this post?
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22.11.25 - 02:27
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IREN 1D - Bullish Continuation Pattern (TradingView)
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Saw a double-top formation on the IREN 1D, zoomed out, saw something similar back in Q2 2024.
Drew a Bar Pattern Continuation for fun to post to twitter about "Chart Squigglers".
Bullish IREN, in all seriousness.
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18.11.25 - 18:21
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IREN on $48 Support Target $98 (TradingView)
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IREN looks to be holding support still even with all the flood of fear through the market. I've never seen so much talk of a bubble when there's zero signs of a bubble. This would lead me to suspect IREN will hold the green trend line and follow the course up from here. But it's important to keep in mind that red trend is it's long term trend.
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