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JPM Warns Strike At Major Chilean Copper Mine Could Deliver "Significant" Production Hit
A new potential bottleneck has emerged in the global copper market as London futures hover just shy of record highs amid persistent scarcity concerns.
Natalia Corfield, JPMorgan's head of Latin America corporate credit research, wrote in a note earlier today that a strike at Centinela, a major source of Antofagasta's copper production in Chile, has begun and could soon impact production.
"Antofagasta is facing its first-ever strike at the Centinela copper mine in Chile, set to begin this morning after mandatory mediation between the company and the Minera Esperanza and Distrito Centinela unions failed to produce an agreement," Corfield wrote in the note.
She continued:
The unions, representing more than 700 workers, say the dispute centers on pay and benefit disparities between employees doing identical jobs but belonging to different unions, and they accuse Antofagasta of rej...
Latin American Political Earthquake: Milei's Midterm Victory In Argentina Puts Chile In Focus Ahead Of Elections
After Javier Milei's surprise midterm victory in Argentina (documented here), along with the market reaction (see the Goldman note here), attention now shifts across the Andes to Chile's first-round presidential election next month.
Cryptocurrency-based prediction market Polymarket shows a potential victory for conservative free-market candidate Jose Antonio Kast, who is politically aligned with Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil and Milei in Argentina. The trend suggests that socialist power in Latin America may be weakening.
Chile Presidential Election:
Kast: Social conservative, focuses his campaign on crime and immigration. Promises spending cuts, but would need congressional alliances to govern, limiting drastic policy moves.
Johannes Kaiser: Anti-establishment libertarian, similar to Milei, but with limited support.
Jeannette Jara (leftist, Communist Party affiliation)...