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As long as price stays below today's high and the 700 level, I'm watching for a deeper pullback toward 515–480 or a potential re-test of the June 2025 highs. Alternatively, a sustained breakout above 700 would open the door for a continuation move toward the next macro resistance zone at 900–1100. Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/ekZYJ2Qw/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/ekZYJ2Qw/ Macro view: https://www.tradingview.com/x/FmJTmAnw/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/FmJTmAnw/

While the overall technical picture for AppLovin Corp. (APP) is overwhelmingly bullish, a short case can be built on the following technical and fundamental cautionary signs, suggesting a potential near-term pullback or a high-risk long-term outlook. The stock's current price is trading significantly above certain valuation models, which may suggest a frothy or unsustainable valuation based on fundamentals. Significant Insider Selling: The stock has seen "significant insider selling over the past 3 months," which can be interpreted as a lack of confidence in the current valuation or future prospects by those who know the company best. High Debt Load: AppLovin is noted to have a "high level of debt", which increases financial risk, especially in a higher interest rate environment. Regulatory & Competition Risk: The business model, heavily reliant on mobile advertising, faces threats from increasing data privacy regulations and widespread consumer use of ad-blockers, which could undermine the effectiveness

Dealers have been on the right side of APP's recent run. Current analysis shows collective bullish forecast and $800 price target. Small current pivot could be a nice entry point if not in already.

App is likely to build support on $544 with a target of $925. Good luck!

NASDAQ:APP Weekly Chart | Swing and Position Setup APP is forming a textbook inverse head and shoulders pattern, signaling a major bullish reversal on the weekly timeframe. Structure Highlights: Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder confirmed Neckline breakout with change of character (ChoCH) Price is trending above all key moving averages (EMA 9, EMA 50, VWAP) Bullish volume behavior: expansion on rallies, contraction on pullbacks Key Levels: TP1: 417.89 (neckline resistance) TP2: 510.13 (measured move target) Final projection: 600+ if macro conditions align Invalidation Level: Weekly close below 345 Thesis: As long as the neckline holds, the bullish momentum remains valid. The structure is clean, technical confluence is strong, and volume confirms accumulation. This setup favors swing traders and position holders looking for high reward-to-risk entries.

With APP breaking key resistance to the upside. There is a possibility for an aggressive move to the upside. This will NOT be a straight line up, but does show the possibility of the measured move. If I were to enter this, todays candle would be my entry and my stop loss would be an aggressive close back under the trendline. Let's see what happens.

Entry: $371 - 372 Stop: $342.50 Risk per share: $28.80 Earnings Catalyst Setup • Flat base breakout above $370 zone, strong price structure • Volume expanding into earnings — ideal for pre-earnings momentum pop • Holding all major MAs: 21EMA, 50MA, 200MA clustered below • MACD & Oscillators turning up, showing early momentum shift • Institutional positioning appears supportive • Earnings Date: ~9 days (6 Aug 2025 after mkt) ⚠️ Key Notes • Pre-earnings breakout pattern, keep size light • Possible re-rating if earnings surprise positively — watch for revenue growth in AI/game ads • Sell partial above 1R to de-risk, trail rest DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It's your best defence against losses.

Applovin ( NASDAQ:APP ) is attempting to base and reverse off the lower range of its cloud structure after a sharp pullback from highs above $400. Price is holding just under the cloud but showing early signs of curling higher. Despite bearish MACD pressure, momentum is beginning to decelerate, and a bounce here could offer strong upside. Current setup offers a 2.83 risk/reward: Entry: $341.03 Stop: $308.00 (below recent low) Target: $434.44 (back to breakdown zone) This is a countertrend play unless the price can reclaim and hold above the cloud. If it clears $360–$370 with volume, it opens the door to $400+. For now, this is a speculative long with a tight invalidation point and plenty of upside. Are you buying this bounce or waiting for trend confirmation?

? APP Weekly Trade Plan – June 20, 2025 ? Instrument: APP (Applovin Corp) ? Direction: Bearish (Put) ? Expiry: 2025-06-20 ? Confidence Level: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open ? Model Consensus Breakdown Model Direction Summary Grok/xAI ? Bearish Clear bearish momentum. Recommends $325 put. Claude ⚠️ No Trade Mixed signals; confidence below 50%. Gemini ? Bearish Recommends $322.50 put based on RSI/VIX. Llama ⚠️ No Trade Slightly bearish but low conviction. DeepSeek ? Bullish Contrarian call ($327.50) against oversold bounce. ? Consensus Takeaway ✅ Most models agree APP is under bearish pressure on the daily chart. ⚠️ Mixed signals emerge due to oversold RSI and elevated VIX (~20.31). ? Watch for short squeezes or rebound attempts off key support ($325–$327). ✅ Recommended Trade (Put Option) Metric Value ? Strike $325 Put ? Entry Price $0.75 (limit) ? Stop Loss $0.38 ? Profit Target $0.975+ ? Confidence 65% ? Size 1 contract ? Expiry June 20, 2025 ? This trade bets on short-term continuation lower, possibl

Consolidation breakout on APP in 2024. Ticks all the boxes - proper range break breakout on volume, MAs stacked, volume dry up in base, obeys the 20day on run-up.

Huge level of support. Great Company. WIll be buying at these levels.

The last time a similar move in amplitude occurred, was to the positive persuasion and took approx. 17 hrs to move approx. 40%...PUTTential18% + to the downside inbound over the next day; if not MORE... Not advice...new to this wanna get better.

APP on the daily has a gap to fill to the downside. Short will be active upon losing 228 level with 235 as SL towards targets of 200 first and then gap fill level around 177 area. Short once 228 is lost. SL 235 Target 1 200 and Target 2 177 (Gap fill completes here)

So I had call options into the earnings ? , here's my plan... $584 Should act as resistance or potential future support. That's why I'm going to close them there. That protects those options for a potential pullback to $417. If instead Applovin breaks above resistance I'll look for a pullback to consolidate back into the $584 support and get long once again. Good luck!

NASDAQ:APP double bottom on daily here. Also It has relative strength compare to the market. Putting nice bullish pennant here. As long as $358 doesn't break we can see $390+ in upcoming week here.

Kursziel: 194.48 €

My swing trade method didn't trigger yet, but the stats are impressive and the set-up is getting ready, so I will be watching this one closely. What do you think?