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18.03.26 - 21:54
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The Dot Plot, Explained: How the Fed Forecasts Interest Rates (Bloomberg)
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It's almost certainly the most closely scrutinized scatter chart in financial markets. Every three months since January 2012, the Federal Reserve has sent analysts scurrying by updating its “dot plot,” which has become the de facto interest rate forecast of the US central bank — whether the Fed wants it to be or not. It's also an important if cryptic source of clues to any dissent among Fed policymakers....
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18.03.26 - 19:24
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Fed holds interest rates steady as Iran war drives up oil prices and inflation fears (The Guardian)
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Jerome Powell resists Trump pressure as policymakers weigh energy shock against a weakening US jobs marketSign up for the Breaking News US email to get newsletter alerts in your inboxThe US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady for the second time this year, a widely expected move amid turmoil in the Middle East and rising energy prices.Fed officials faced a confluence of issues to consider in their meeting this week: soaring oil and gas prices, fluctuating inflation that still remains above the Fed's target of 2% and a weakened job market that unexpectedly saw 92,000 losses last month. Continue reading......
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18.03.26 - 19:06
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US-Notenbank hält nach Ölpreisschock still - Zweite Zinspause in Folge (Cash)
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Inmitten von Marktturbulenzen im Zuge des Irankrieges hält die US-Notenbank den Leitzins stabil und zugleich die Hoffnung auf eine Senkung im Laufe des Jahres wach... --- Der geldpolitische Schlüsselsatz bleibt in der Spanne von 3,50 bis 3,75 Prozent, wie die Federal Reserve am Mittwoch bekanntgab. Es ist die zweite Pause in Folge, nachdem die Fed die Zinsen im vorigen Jahr dreimal gesenkt hatte. In ihrem Zinsausblick hielten die Währungshüter nun zugleich an der bereits im Dezember signalisierten Option fest, im Laufe des Jahres die Zinsen um einen Viertelpunkt zu senken. Keiner von ihnen sieht eine Notwendigkeit, die Zinssätze bis Ende dieses Jahres anzuheben..
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18.03.26 - 18:51
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US-Anleihen: Kursverluste vor Fed-Zinsentscheidung (DPA-AFX)
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NEW YORK (dpa-AFX) - Die Kurse von US-Staatsanleihen haben am Mittwoch vor der Zinsentscheidung der US-Notenbank nachgegeben. Erneut gestiegene Ölpreise belasteten die Kurse. Der Terminkontrakt für zehnjährige Staatsanleihen (T-Note-Future) fiel um 0,21 ......
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18.03.26 - 12:48
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Interest rates are not the tool to solve the inflation caused by the US′s war with Iran | Josh Ryan-Collins (The Guardian)
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We've been here before with Covid and Ukraine. Making borrowing more expensive won't work – only price controls, caps and public ownership can do thatThe Bank of England's interest-rate committee meets on Thursday, facing up to the global inflation shock triggered by the illegal US-Israeli war on Iran. The most immediate driver of inflation is the effective closure of the strait of Hormuz by the Iranian military, a global chokepoint through which 20%-30% of the world's oil, gas and fertiliser inputs are normally shipped from the Gulf states.Benchmark oil and gas prices are up by more than 40% and 50%, respectively. The UK is highly exposed, given that we are net importers of gas and have an energy market where the global price of gas directly influences the cost of electricity provision. The energy price cap will shield most households until the summer, but UK diesel prices are already up by about 12% and petrol by 6%. The government has intervened with a £53m package to support households in rural...
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