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28.03.26 - 04:24
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Macquarie: Two More Months Of War Could Send Oil To $200 (ZeroHedge)
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Macquarie: Two More Months Of War Could Send Oil To $200
Submitted by Tsvetana Paraskova of OilPrice.com
Oil prices could hit a record $200 per barrel if the war in the Middle East drags on through the entire second quarter, analysts at Macquarie Group have warned.
The odds of the Iran war dragging on until June were put at 40% by the analysts in a note carried by Bloomberg. But the scenario of the war ending by the end of March currently appears more plausible, with odds at 60%, according to Macquarie.
“If the strait were to stay closed for an extended period, prices would need to move high enough to destroy an historically large amount of global oil demand,” Macquarie's analysts wrote in the report.
“The timing of the re-opening of the straits, and physical damage to energy infrastructure, is the main determinant of the longer-term impact on commodities,” they added.
Many other analysts warn that if the Strait of Hormuz, which is already closed to most tanker traffic f...
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28.03.26 - 02:00
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$100 Oil Is Solving Russia′s Budget Problem (ZeroHedge)
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$100 Oil Is Solving Russia's Budget Problem
Submitted by Charles Kennedy of OilPrice.com
Russia is getting an unexpected windfall from the war in the Middle East. The Kremlin's oil revenues this month hit a four-year high as oil prices jumped to $100 per barrel amid the Iran war and the de facto closed Strait of Hormuz.
Moscow expects so much additional revenues from the oil price spike that authorities are unlikely to downgrade Russia's economic prospects, hold off on planned budget cuts, and even boost military spending on the war in Ukraine, Bloomberg reports, citing sources with knowledge of the matter.
A month ago, Russia was considering lowering the oil price level above which it sends the proceeds to its wealth fund as oil and gas revenues were plummeting with widening discounts and key Russian buyers like India pulling out of the spot market.
But the Middle East war and the worst disruption in the history of the global oil market pushed oil prices above $100 per barrel and prompted...
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28.03.26 - 01:54
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Centre, oil companies to split impact of higher crude (Times of India)
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For the moment, it has managed to ensure that consumers are fully protected as the oil retailers and govt will split the burden of higher crude prices. For the oil marketing companies (OMCs), which will have to take a hit during the March quarter, the impact will not be significant if the Indian basket remains around the current level of $112 a barrel....
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27.03.26 - 22:42
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Asia Begins Pricing US Oil Against Brent As Dubai Volatility Spikes (ZeroHedge)
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Asia Begins Pricing US Oil Against Brent As Dubai Volatility Spikes
Submitted by Michael Kern of OilPrice.com
Asian refiners have started pricing their orders for U.S. crude oil against the ICE Brent benchmark instead of the typical pricing on Dubai crude, as the Middle Eastern benchmark has seen wild fluctuations amid choked physical supply from the Persian Gulf.
Dubai crude prices soared last week to an all-time high of $169.75 per barrel, and were around $130 a barrel early on Friday.
These highly volatile prices and the uncertainty about supply from the Middle East have prompted refiners in Asia to seek pricing against Brent, instead of the Dubai benchmark which has traditionally been the marker dictating the price of imports into the world's top crude-importing region.
Some Japanese refiners have already bought U.S. crude cargoes for delivery in July priced against ICE Brent, sources at trading and refining firms told Reuters on Friday. Taiyo Oil, for example, has purchased 2 million b...
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