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Inflation Fears Fade As War Drags UMich Sentiment Lower
After rebounding solidly in January and February, expectations were for a modest decline in UMich Sentiment in preliminary March data and analysts were right but the 55.5 print (from 56.6 prior) was better than the 54.8 expected.
Current Conditions actually improved, surprising to the upside (57.8 vs 56.6 prior vs 54.9 exp)
Expectations fell more than expected (54.1 vs 56.6 prior vs 54.5 exp)
Current Conditions are at their highest level since October while expectations are at their lowest since November.
Source: Bloomberg
Interviews for this release were collected between February 17 and March 9, with about half completed after the start of the US military conflict in Iran.
Interviews completed prior to the military action in Iran showed an improvement in sentiment from last month, but lower readings seen during the nine days thereafter completely erased those initial gains.
"A broad swath of consumers across incomes, age, and po...