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21.02.26 - 00:36
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Fed′s Preferred Inflation Gauge Comes In At 3% as Expected (Bloomberg)
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US inflation was higher in December, with core PCE rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3% year-over-year. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge suggesting that reining in higher prices is proving to be more difficult than anticipated for the FOMC. Policymakers at their January meeting said they'd like clearer evidence that inflation is returning to their 2% goal, but Friday's December data suggests they will have to maintain a "wait-and-see" approach. Olu Sonola, Head of US Economic Research at Fitch Ratings, joins Bloomberg Businessweek Daily to discuss. He also weighs in on GDP and the potential economic impact of President Trump's tariffs being struck down by the Supreme Court.
Sonola speaks with Carol Massar and Emily Graffeo. (Source: Bloomberg)...
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20.02.26 - 16:57
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Inflation Fears Plummet As UMich Sees Democrats′ Confidence Pick Up In February (ZeroHedge)
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Inflation Fears Plummet As UMich Sees Democrats' Confidence Pick Up In February
After rebounding strongly in preliminary February data (as Democrats came to their senses over the fearmongered Trump tariff-flation), the final UMich sentiment survey print slipped lower with the headline lowered from 57.3 to 56.6. Both Current Conditions and Expectations were lower than the flash print with the latter falling to 2 month lows and the former holding at 4-month highs...
Does anyone else think its weird that all the numbers were exactly the same at 56.6
Source: Bloomberg
Democrats and Republicans led the decrease in inflation expectations...
Source: Bloomberg
UMich Survey Director Joanna Hsu noted that "all index components posted insignificant movements this month; overall, consumers do not perceive any material differences in the economy from last month."
Democrats confidence is at its highest since July 2025...
Year-ahead inflation expectations fell from 4.0% last month to 3.4% this month, the lo...
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20.02.26 - 16:01
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USA: PCE-Deflator - Inflation dürfte das FOMC kaum beeinflussen! (Anleihencheck)
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Hannover (www.anleihencheck.de) - Zu der etwas ungewissen Stimmung bei den Notenbankern der USA gesellt sich nun eine spannende Datenlage hinzu, welche zunächst nicht helfen dürfte eine klarere Prognose für die nächste FOMC-Sitzung abzugeben, so die Analysten der Nord LB.
Der heutige PCE-Deflator für den Dezember falle mit 0,4% M/M etwas höher aus als zunächst erwartet und signalisiere folglich eine leicht gesteigerte Dynamik bei dieser Inflationsrate. [mehr]...
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20.02.26 - 15:48
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Savings Rate Tumbles To 4 Year Lows As Fed′s Favorite Inflation Indicator Comes In Hot (ZeroHedge)
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Savings Rate Tumbles To 4 Year Lows As Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Comes In Hot
The Fed's favorite inflation indicator - Core PCE (a measure of price changes in consumer goods and services that excludes volatile food and energy costs) - rose 0.4% in December (the latest data released today), slightly hotter than expected (+0.3% MoM). That lifted YoY inflation up 3.0% (above the prior month and hotter than expected) - the highest since April 2025...
Source: Bloomberg
The headline PCE rose 0.4% MoM (more than expected too) driving prices up 2.9% YoY (the highest since March 2024)
Source: Bloomberg
The much watched SuperCore PCE rose 0.3% MoM (the last MoM decline was April 2020). But the SuperCore PCE YoY printed +3.3% - very much unmoved in the last year...
Services prices continue to dominate the price gains but Goods costs also accelerated in December...
Many were fearful of the recent surge in oil prices impacting inflation, but as the chart below shows, the government's measure of...
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