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09.03.26 - 20:54
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NY Fed: Inflation Expectations Dropped To 1 Year Low Ahead Of Iran War Amid Improving Household Finances (ZeroHedge)
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NY Fed: Inflation Expectations Dropped To 1 Year Low Ahead Of Iran War Amid Improving Household Finances
While the latest NY Fed consumer expectations report shows sentiment from February, and does not account for the surge in oil prices as a result of the Iran war, the trend continues to be supportive which would be good news for the US economy if the current energy price spikes proves to be transitory.
In what was the calm before the Persian Gulf storm, Americans' inflation expectations eased further back in February amid mixed views on the state of the job market and current and future finances. Specifically, the expected level of inflation a year from now dropped to 3% from 3.1% in January, and the lowest since the start of 2025 while the projected level of inflation three and five years from now held steady at 3%.
The New York Fed survey, released Monday, was conducted between February 2-28. As such, it does not capture the public's reaction to surging oil prices that are...
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09.03.26 - 15:54
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Futures Tumble But Off Session Lows On Expectations Of Global SPR Release (ZeroHedge)
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Futures Tumble But Off Session Lows On Expectations Of Global SPR Release
US futures tumbled and oil surged as the war in Iran showed little sign of deescalating over the weekend and led to more major Middle East producers curbing output. Still, futures retraced more than 50% off the overnight lows as WTI nearly touched $120 overnight, the highest since 2022, before dropping back to around $100 after a report G7 countries may release 300 million to 400 million barrels, or around 25% to 30% of the 1.2 billion barrels in strategic reserve. As of 8:00am ET, S&P futures are down 1%, although well off session lows, having tumbled as much as 2% earlier before the SPR news hit; in pre-market trading, Mag7 names are weaker, but certain AI plays are positive pre-mkt with Energy the standout sector and Defense bid higher, too. Generally, Defensives over Cyclicals. Bonds deepened losses while the dollar hit its highest level since January. Bond yields are higher, bear flattening, but Treasuries are ...
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