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17.10.26 - 01:30
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Wall Street Week | America′s Relationship Woes, Battery Pivot, Farmers′ Fed Warning (Bloomberg)
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This week, global and business leaders gathered in New Delhi for the Bloomberg New Economy Forum to discuss how the world is redrawing supply chains and investment plans in the face of geopolitical risks. And, in her new book former Canadian deputy prime minister Chrystia Freeland and Former Treasury Secretary Yellen say that the US needs stronger economic ties with its allies. Plus, can storage technologies rescue battery factories built in the hopes of stronger EV adoption? Later, as inflation picks up in the US, the heartland feels the effects more severely.
(Source: Bloomberg)...
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16.10.26 - 22:54
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Wall Street Anxiety Spreads as AI Rout Meets $110 Oil Shock (Bloomberg)
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Wall Street has spent the year betting on staggering AI growth while worrying about stubborn inflation. This week, investors got a fresh taste of both risks: a deepening rout in the AI complex that reached into its debt financing, and oil at $110 a barrel threatening to make inflation harder to contain....
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16.10.26 - 18:57
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The Blue Wave Trade: JPMorgan′s "Democrat Factor" Soars 20% As Wall Street Prices A Sweep (ZeroHedge)
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The Blue Wave Trade: JPMorgan's "Democrat Factor" Soars 20% As Wall Street Prices A Sweep
Prediction markets aren't the only place where traders are betting on a Democratic sweep.
Over the weekend, we laid out Goldman's case that gas prices are steering the midterms, with Polymarket pricing a roughly 65% chance that Democrats take both chambers, a number the bank's own historical work suggests is too high.
But for those who prefer their political bets with a ticker and a prime broker attached, there is another, far more lucrative gauge of how Wall Street sees November 3: JPMorgan's Democrat Factor (JP9DEMP Index on Bloomberg), a beta-neutral long/short equity pair built to move with the Democrats' odds, and nothing else.
It has done exactly that. Since August, the pair is up roughly 20%. Over the same period the S&P 500 rose 2.6%. Scaled up to a 6% volatility target, JPMorgan's Delta-One desk calculates that the Democrat Factor has generated ~170% annualized, a return that wou...
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