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16.10.25 - 15:09
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Philly Fed Survey Signals ′Widespread Expectations For Growth′, Lower Inflation (ZeroHedge)
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Philly Fed Survey Signals 'Widespread Expectations For Growth', Lower Inflation
After yesterday's surge in the New York Fed's Manufacturing survey (showing strong new orders and employment), this morning we get their neighbor - the Philly Fed's - manufacturing survey data... and it's, umm, quite different...
The survey's index for current general activity fell significantly and turned negative (-12.8 vs +10.0 exp), more than offsetting last month's increase.
Source: Bloomberg
However, while the headline sentiment index tumbled, the survey's future indicators suggest "widespread expectations for growth over the next six months" according to the Philly Fed...
Source: Bloomberg
Additionally, while the headline sentiment signals tumbled, rather confusingly we see the new orders index rose and the employment index ticked down but continued to reflect overall increases in employment.
Source: Bloomberg
And one more item of note, both future price indexes declined - The future prices paid ind...
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13.10.25 - 19:42
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Fed′s Paulson Doesn′t Expect Sustained Inflation (Bloomberg)
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Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Anna Paulson says monetary policy is “modestly restrictive” and officials should look through the impact of tariffs in consumer price increases. She speaks at the National Association for Business Economics annual meeting....
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10.10.25 - 21:48
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BLS To Publish Next CPI Report On Oct 24 Despite Shutdown, Just Days Before Fed Decision (ZeroHedge)
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BLS To Publish Next CPI Report On Oct 24 Despite Shutdown, Just Days Before Fed Decision
The data drought is about to end (with some footnotes).
The Bureau of Labor Statistics, which we reminded our followers some time ago is not just behind the monthly jobs report but also the various inflation updates...
As a reminder, PPI and CPI (reporting next two days) are also under the BLS umbrella
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 9, 2025
... said it will publish the September consumer price index on Oct. 24, marking a rare exception to release data during the government shutdown.
The report will come out that day at 8:30 a.m. in Washington, compared to the original publication date of Oct. 15, the agency said Friday.
“No other releases will be rescheduled or produced until the resumption of regular government services,” BLS said in a statement. “This release allows the Social Security Administration to meet statutory deadlines necessary to ensure the accurate and timely payment of benefits.?...
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10.10.25 - 17:24
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US Consumers Expect More Inflation, UMich′s Hsu Says (Bloomberg)
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University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu discusses the current state of US consumer sentiment. The preliminary October sentiment index edged down to 55 from 55.1 in September, according to the University of Michigan. While the latest figure was the lowest in five months, it was firmer than the median projection in a Bloomberg survey of economists....
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10.10.25 - 16:18
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Stimmung der US-Verbraucher im Oktober besser als erwartet (Dow Jones)
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Die Stimmung der US-Verbraucher hat sich im Oktober zwar leicht abgeschwächt, ist aber dennoch besser ausgefallen als erwartet. Der an der Universität Michigan berechnete Index für die Verbraucherstimmung in den USA fiel bei der Umfrage zur Monatsmitte auf 55,0 Punkte. Von Dow Jones Newswires befragte Ökonomen hatten einen Stand von nur 54,0 erwartet. Bei der Umfrage Ende September lag er bei 55,1. Der Index für die Erwartungen belief sich auf 51,2 (Vormonat: 51,7), der Index für die Einschätzung der aktuellen Lage wurde mit 61,0 (60,4) angegeben.. --- Die Inflationserwartungen der Konsumenten auf Sicht von zwölf Monaten verringerten sich im Vergleich zum Vormonat auf 4,6 von 4,7 Prozent. Auf Sicht von fünf Jahren blieben sie konstant bei 3,7 Prozent..
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