Analysen Indien

 

US-India relations expert alleged to have retained classified information and met with Chinese officials....

Frankfurt (www.anleihencheck.de) - Die indische Notenbank hat bei ihrem Treffen am 1. Oktober den Leitzins unverändert bei 5,50% gelassen, so die Analysten der DekaBank. Sie habe allerdings deutlich gemacht, dass sie Raum für eine weitere Lockerung der Geldpolitik sehe. Diese Einschätzung stütze sich zum einen auf die wegen der US-Zölle gestiegenen Konjunkturrisiken. [mehr]...

In September, the US administration called on the European Union and G7 countries to impose significant tariffs on imports from China and India to discourage them from purchasing Russian oil...

Indians significantly increased spending on premium and big-ticket items like smartphones, large TVs, and washing machines this Navratri-Dussehra season. GST reductions made products more affordable, driving sales across categories, including mass apparel and footwear. Retailers reported strong year-on-year growth, with Navratri sales reaching a decade high....

World Bank economist Franziska Ohnsorge highlights India's significant untapped potential in services and manufacturing exports for foreign investors. Computer services exports surged 30% post-ChatGPT, indicating strong opportunities, while manufacturing faces constraints from limited trade agreements. Although private investment growth remains robust, India's FDI to GDP ratio is notably weak by international standards....

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Bonn (www.anleihencheck.de) - Auf der geldpolitischen Sitzung in dieser Woche wird die Reserve Bank of India (RBI) den Leitzins voraussichtlich unverändert bei 5,5% belassen, so die Analysten von Postbank Research. Die RBI habe die Zinsen im Juni bereits um 50 Basispunkte gesenkt und könnte die Auswirkungen der unerwartet starken Zinssenkungen auf die Realwirtschaft abwarten. [mehr]...

Moody's Ratings affirmed India's sovereign rating at Baa3 with a stable outlook, citing its fast-growing economy and sound external position. India is projected to remain the fastest-growing G20 economy, with 6.5% growth in FY25-26. While US tariffs pose long-term risks, other US policy shifts are not expected to significantly impact India's current account....

Moody's retained India's Baa3 rating with a stable outlook, citing a robust economy and strong external standing despite US tariffs. The stable outlook and rating confirmation indicate India's continuing credit advantages....

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HSBC has upgraded India's equities rating to 'Overweight', projecting a Sensex target of 94,000 by 2026, indicating a 13% potential increase. This decision is driven by appealing valuations, supportive government policies, and consistent domestic investor engagement....

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Rating and Investment Information, Inc. (R&I) has upgraded India's long-term sovereign credit rating to 'BBB+' with a Stable Outlook, marking the third upgrade in 2025. This decision reflects confidence in India's domestic demand-driven growth, prudent fiscal management, and the government's effective economic policies. The upgrade highlights India's resilient macroeconomic fundamentals amid global uncertainties....

Adani Power Limited (APL) has emerged as India's largest private coal-based power producer with 18,150 MW capacity across 12 plants. Morgan Stanley projects APL's market share to reach 15% by FY32, driven by successful turnaround of stressed assets and strategic acquisitions. The company's financial health has improved significantly, with net debt-to-EBITDA declining sharply....

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Edward Price, a US analyst, criticizes President Trump's tariffs on India, advocating for their removal and an apology. He emphasizes the crucial role of the US-India relationship in the 21st century, particularly in relation to China and Russia. Price also acknowledges concerns about Trump's potential financial interests influencing US-India relations, while praising PM Modi's strategic independence....

India's surprisingly strong economic growth last quarter was likely exaggerated by statistical factors, economists said, and will push up full-year forecasts even as higher US tariffs take a toll....

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