Foren & Soziale Netzwerke zur BROADCOM Aktie

 

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There's a 75% probability this yellow box resolves lower. Broadcom just overshot a channel that has held since 2021. Go back through any chart, any market, any period — and see it yourself.

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Broadcom just overshot a channel that has held since 2021. Go back through any chart, any market, any period — and see it yourself.

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Although the initial immediately bullish January setup failed to follow through (see idea from Jan'25) — with price breaking local support and sliding deeper into a complex corrective structure — the broader macro trend structure may have effectively fulfilled itself after reaching major macro resistance levels built since the May bull run. Chart (Weekly): https://www.tradingview.com/x/6bkBNjUx/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/6bkBNjUx/ There is still not enough confirmation that a macro top is in. The first signs would be price starting to close below the 21DEMA and 50DMA, forming a sequence of lower highs along with bearish EMA convergence (similar to the February '25 structure). For now the key question is whether the negative post-market reaction to strong earnings and positive guidance will sustain. If selling pressure persists and price begins to decisively close below the 21EMA, that would increase the odds of a developing reversal. Otherwise, continued dip-buying may push price toward the upper b

AVGO has reclaimed its 50d MA decisively & is riding it upward After a mild multi-week consolidation, AVGO is breaking out toward prior highs (~$406) This type of structure (pullback → higher low → reclaim key MA → push toward highs), tends to imply that dip buyers are in control RSI is rising & sits around the mid-60s, not overbought, but trending strongly Rising RSI ahead of earnings usually reflects bullish positioning Stoch is overbought (>90) which often signals short-term exhaustion, not necessarily a reversal, but it does imply that the easy part of the move may already be behind us going into the report Volume has picked up on green days, suggesting accumulation No clear signs of distribution into strength Historically, AVGO tends to run into earnings because it's seen as a high-quality operator with secular AI-exposure Breakout attempts near earnings often indicate expectations of a positive guide or at least no negative surprises Short-term overbought signals could mean the stoc

Broadcom continues to trade as one of the strongest structural leaders inside this secular bull market. From the “Liberation Day” inflection point, price is now up roughly +178%, with trend structure remaining firmly intact across the higher timeframes. Throughout this entire advance, NASDAQ:AVGO has displayed classic institutional trend behavior — persistent EMA support, shallow pullbacks, and clean continuation structures. From a moving average perspective, this rally has been textbook. During the entire impulse phase, price has mostly remained compressed within the 5 and 8-day EMAs, rarely giving up the 13-day EMA, which confirms strong momentum preservation. This type of behavior is typical of sustained institutional accumulation phases rather than late-stage retail blow-offs. Earlier in the year, price briefly lost the lower boundary of its prior flag structure in April. That breakdown proved to be a bear trap, with price finding clean support at the 100-day MA before resuming trend higher. That reac

Broadcom continues to trade as one of the strongest structural leaders inside this secular bull market. From the “Liberation Day” inflection point, price is now up roughly +178%, with trend structure remaining firmly intact across the higher timeframes. Throughout this entire advance, NASDAQ:AVGO has displayed classic institutional trend behavior — persistent EMA support, shallow pullbacks, and clean continuation structures. From a moving average perspective, this rally has been textbook. During the entire impulse phase, price has mostly remained compressed within the 5 and 8-day EMAs, rarely giving up the 13-day EMA, which confirms strong momentum preservation. This type of behavior is typical of sustained institutional accumulation phases rather than late-stage retail blow-offs. Earlier in the year, price briefly lost the lower boundary of its prior flag structure in April. That breakdown proved to be a bear trap, with price finding clean support at the 100-day MA before resuming trend higher. That reac

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Broadcom is no longer the quiet infrastructure company it used to be. In 2025, AVGO has transformed into a direct AI compute powerhouse, and the chart is reflecting this shift with powerful clarity. Chart Reading — AVGO AVGO has reclaimed its April 7th key angle—the foundational 1-degree / 1-dollar-per-day trendline that defined the entire advance of 2025. Regaining this angle places the stock back inside places it in a much stronger position especially as it closes into all-time highs and also closing weekly above 400$ The Business Shift Driving the Move Broadcom is now at the center of the AI boom because: Google's TPU/XPU adoption has pushed AVGO into custom AI compute. Hyperscalers want cheaper, more efficient, in-house AI silicon. AVGO now controls AI networking + AI compute, not just one layer. This shift expands Broadcom's market dramatically and accelerates future earnings. AVGO is no longer just a networking company — it's now a core AI hardware provider, offering hyperscalers a che

⚡A New Leader Emerges in the Semiconductors For years, NVDA was the undisputed titan — the gravitational center of the semiconductor universe. But now, the geometry tells a different story. THE CHARTS ? Both charts use the same natural scaling: 1° of time = $1 of price per unit. And here's the critical observation: NVDA has broken beneath its 1° angle. AVGO has recaptured and accelerated above its 1° angle. AVGO has already made new all-time highs. During a semiconductor correction. While SMH was down. While the S&P 500 retraced. The real question still remains however, are we still in the early innings of the AI Boom? SMH — The Semiconductor Supercycle Update https://www.tradingview.com/x/cZfx4Ly9/ The Structure That Defines the AI Era?️ The 2023–2027 channel is the master structure for this entire semiconductor cycle. SMH bounced precisely where the primary and secondary angles intersect. ? Market Knots — Speed & Acceleration Confirm the Turn https://www.tradingview.com/x/HT4nPkZB/

I have re-entered this NASDAQ:AVGO short. Odds are still 75% the yellow box will break to the downside eventually (a multi year channel line overshoot historically only has a 25% of succes) This week is a seasonal Thanksgiving bullish week with strong news from Google, probably won't happen again next week.