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16.01.26 - 19:51
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$PLTR — still holding the full short position. We've just broken (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:PLTR — still holding the full short position.
We've just broken down from a 6-day tight, compressing trading range. A trading range is typically followed by a trend; the only questions are when and in which direction. Today, the market chose downside.
That said, breakouts from very tight ranges are roughly 50/50 in terms of follow-through versus failure. So this breakdown alone doesn't prove much.
The larger context matters more.
On a longer-term basis, the odds still favor lower prices. After an extended uptrend, most investors are sitting on sizable open profits. As price begins to stall, the incentive to lock in gains increases, which usually translates into selling pressure.
Over the last six months, Palantir has entered a phase where each new high increases the probability of profit-taking. In late-stage trends, those odds can rise significantly — sometimes toward 80%. I don't think we're at that extreme yet, but we're clearly above 50%, with downside odds outweighing upside.
That's why I re
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13.01.26 - 09:15
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Palantir: Air is getting thin (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:PLTR recently reached our designated red short Target Zone, triggering an active short trade. We have been managing risk proactively, reducing the position by 50% after hitting the initial take-profit level. As a result, our stop-loss is now set at the entry price. As the weekly chart indicates, the stock is primarily in a major corrective phase, identified as wave II in beige. This correction is expected to continue, first pausing in the upper green Target Zone ($117.54–$95.10) before potentially extending down to the lower green Target Zone between $72.58 and $40.66. Alternatively, there is at least a 33% chance that the stock could first post a new high for wave alt.I in beige, above resistance at $207.23.
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08.01.26 - 20:33
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$PLTR — Bulls and bears still battling, but doesn't change anyth (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:PLTR — Bulls and bears still battling. Traded it a few times, but currently still short.
Valuation remains stretched relative to fundamentals, with growth already well-telegraphed and expectations high. Intensifying competition this year is likely.
I still expect a move back to double digits this year.
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19.12.25 - 23:42
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PLTR GEX - Bull Flag Breakout Setup (TradingView)
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PLTR Technical & Options Setup Overview
PLTR is setting up a clean bull flag breakout on the daily chart, following a strong impulsive leg higher.
The consolidation has been holding above the 50-day moving average , which has acted as dynamic support throughout the flag structure. Two sessions ago price briefly dipped below the 50 SMA, but that weakness was immediately bought, signaling strong dip demand and structural acceptance above this level.
From an options perspective, the setup remains supportive. On the Feb 20 (Optimal Monthly) expiration, PLTR shows a Positive GEX Profile .
Volatility and skew conditions further strengthen the bullish case:
Core Call Pricing Skew is elevated (~36%), indicating persistent call demand
Implied volatility remains relatively low, leaving room for price expansion without volatility headwinds
https://www.tradingview.com/x/VsyE02H9/
Looking ahead, the next major reference is the 200 level , which represents the primary Core Resistance for the Optima
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18.12.25 - 19:42
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PLTR |Bullish (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:PLTR
Price is compressing under a descending trendline while holding higher lows — classic bullish compression / falling wedge behavior.
Key observations:
Structure: Market printed a sequence of HL → HH, confirming trend transition from corrective to impulsive.
Moving Averages : Price reclaimed and is holding above the mid-term MA, with short-term MA curling up — bullish momentum rebuilding.
Volatility : Keltner compression suggests energy storage, not distribution.
Volume Profile : Acceptance above the high-volume node confirms buyers defending value.
Context : Prior rejection was corrective, not impulsive — sellers failed to follow through.
Invalidation : Clean loss and acceptance below ~182–184 zone.
As long as this holds, bias remains long.
Upside targets:
First expansion toward 193–195
Breakout continuation opens path to 207+ (range high / prior ATH zone)
This is pressure building, not topping.
Resolution favors the upside.
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17.12.25 - 20:03
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$PLTR long term trend is extremely unsustainable behavior (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:PLTR re-entered short. Still expecting reversion toward double digits over next 12 months.
Fundamental thesis: increased competition in 2026 likely.
Technical setup: A bull trend that is this stretched is extremely unsustainable behavior and therefore Palantir is heavily overdue for a major correction.
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