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22.09.25 - 01:54
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down trend looks to rejoin 300 as the trend continues (TradingView)
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Unless we see a significant breakaway from the descending triangle, it could widen and turn to symmetrical which aligns in with the ascending line set to rejoin its pattern. That could be a major shift if it bounces off resistance on the current pattern first.
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16.09.25 - 15:24
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Put sale on MSTR! (TradingView)
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I would love to own more down here. The 50 ema on weekly is an AMAZING support. Bitcoin is above and has reclaimed the 100 sma on the daily. Btcusd is UP YTD and MSTR is down / flat. I believe a shifting / rebalalancing will occur. Long down here
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06.09.25 - 20:03
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MSTR - $300 > $850 (TradingView)
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Howdy ho! I hope everyone is well. I'm going to put my best foot forward for my expectations for MSTR. Everyone was probably let down by the lack of inclusion in the S&P, on Friday. But that's OK! Hopefully this chart will help you with overall direction for MSTR.
So what do we have?
A validate fib (it's validated because it is anchored on the trendline and the previous extension gave us an absolutely perfect target at the high in 2024 at the 2.618. I will post this, below.
A clear support trendline that perfectly aligns wit hthe 50% retrace.
A clear line of support on the 61.8, tested in March/April of 2025 at the $235 level.
RSI is also starting to look supportive of a move up.
Also of interest is the peak out of the channel, telling me we could explode higher out of this channel in the future. just something to watch for.
Thanks and have a great one!
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05.09.25 - 00:27
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Microstrategy: Further Decline (TradingView)
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After a brief consolidation, MSTR continued its decline since our last update, further developing turquoise wave 2, where we still see price positioned. We continue to anticipate the low of this wave above the support at $153.49. In the meantime, we have revised the magenta substructure of wave 2 to a - - formation, with the final (wave- ) leg currently unfolding. Once turquoise wave 2 completes, we expect a strong rally above resistance at $674.18, which should significantly advance the broader upward impulse. However, under our new alternative scenario, a different wave count could prevail: price may currently be forming magenta wave alt. to the upside, developing a blue three-part substructure in the process. In this 25% likely scenario, the next move would be for blue wave alt. (b) to finish within the nearby blue alternative Target Zone between $306.60 and $252.67, before wave alt. (c) pushes up toward the top of magenta wave alt. near $674.18. Within this alternative, the blue zone could offer lon
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04.09.25 - 14:48
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$MSTR – Bear Flag Breakdown Setup (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:MSTR – Bear Flag Triggering Despite Crypto Strength
MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has been drifting lower even as crypto has ripped the last few months — a clear sign of relative weakness. Every rally attempt has been faded, and now the chart is setting up a clean bear flag breakdown.
? The Setup:
Price is pressing the $326 trigger level on a bear flag structure.
A breakdown here opens the door to $300 for the first cover zone.
Weak price action despite a strong sector = bearish divergence.
? Market Context:
The NASDAQ:QQQ is flashing distribution signals — failed breakouts in momentum names and heavy selling under the surface.
If indexes continue to weaken, NASDAQ:MSTR could accelerate to the downside as speculative money comes out.
? My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Short on breakdown through $326.
2️⃣ Target: First covers into $300.
3️⃣ Stop: Above the flag highs — no need to fight if it reverses.
Why I Like This Setup:
Relative weakness vs. crypto = red flag for bulls.
Bear flag structure
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01.08.25 - 19:39
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8/1/25 - $mstr - Selling spot and buying MSTR (TradingView)
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8/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MSTR
Selling spot and buying MSTR
- keeping it (purposefully) short today for everyone's benefit
- sold a bit of OTC:OBTC (which is nearly 15% off spot, e.g. $100k/BTC) to buy NASDAQ:MSTR MSD exposure here
- why?
- 1.6x mNAV is lowest it's been (nearly ever in current BTC move)
- Saylor not going to hit the ATM sub 2.5x, will run it hot
- Latest product further augments this runway to value accretion
- BTC still remains REALLY well bid in this current tape
- So math is like this
- ROE of BTC in "conservative" sense is 25%
- Kc (cost of capital) for Strategy is 10% again (conservative, it's really sub 10%)
- so ROE/Kc (without growth) = 2.5x book.
- A real ROE for BTC (remember this is permanent capital he's tapping, so no asset-liability mis-match) is 35%
- True Kc for this is sub 10%, but let's still say 10%. that's 3.5x book.
Therefore let's even say 2x book (below both of the above) is 2/1.6 = 25% upside. If/do you think that BTC can go back to low 90s, ofc this mig
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30.07.25 - 19:51
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MSTR Holding VWAP Support – Reversal Attempt but Earnings Ahead (TradingView)
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MSTR bounced nearly 2% today after testing anchored VWAP support near $390. This recovery comes after a steady pullback from the recent $460 high. Price is holding above the yellow VWAP and just above the green zone, signaling possible short-term support.
However, volume remains light (3.72M vs. 11.47M average), indicating cautious buying — and earnings are scheduled for tomorrow, which introduces added volatility risk. A close above $410 post-earnings would strengthen the bullish case.
Until then, this remains a speculative long setup with event risk.
Indicators used:
Anchored VWAP (support zone: $390–395)
Volume vs. Volume MA (light = indecision)
Earnings date = risk trigger
Entry idea: Only after earnings reaction; ideally above $410
Target: $430–440
Stop: Below $388 or earnings miss
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17.07.25 - 17:12
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MSTR – On the Path to New ATH (TradingView)
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I was initially skeptical about the recovery structure unfolding since the April lows — it looked like a possible macro lower-high before deeper correction (as outlined in my previous idea).
https://www.tradingview.com/x/EVEi0KYG/
However, given the strength in underlying #BTC price action (covered in my recent video-idea on crypto trend structure) and clear signs of constructive consolidation and accumulation during the July breakout, Isee strong odds for follow-through toward the 520–570 resistance zone in the coming weeks.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/yFEvzcy4/
This move may align with CRYPTOCAP:BTC testing its macro resistance near 130K (see my macro BTC analysis on the idea section).
If NASDAQ:MSTR can break above 570 and sustain a close above it, it opens the door to a potential immediate follow-through toward the 650–755 macro resistance zone. But a scenario for more prolonged consolidation around 570 would in fact serve as a solid base for more stable and prolonged next long-term leg hig
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17.07.25 - 17:09
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MSTR – On the Path to New ATH (TradingView)
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I was initially skeptical about the recovery structure unfolding since the April lows — it looked like a possible macro lower-high before deeper correction (as outlined in my previous idea).
https://www.tradingview.com/x/EVEi0KYG/
However, given the strength in underlying #BTC price action (covered in my recent video-idea on crypto trend structure) and clear signs of constructive consolidation and accumulation during the July breakout, Isee strong odds for follow-through toward the 520–570 resistance zone in the coming weeks.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/yFEvzcy4/
This move may align with CRYPTOCAP:BTC testing its macro resistance near 130K (see my macro BTC analysis on the idea section).
If NASDAQ:MSTR can break above 570 and sustain a close above it, it opens the door to a potential immediate follow-through toward the 650–755 macro resistance zone. But a scenario for more prolonged consolidation around 570 would in fact serve as a solid base for more stable and prolonged next long-term leg hig
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10.07.25 - 14:33
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Microstrategy: Renewed Upside (TradingView)
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MicroStrategy has continued to face downward pressure recently but is now showing more decisive signs of an upward move. We still see greater upside potential in the current magenta wave , though we expect the peak to form below resistance at $671.32. Afterward, the bearish wave should complete turquoise wave 2—while still holding above support at $153.49. Wave 3 should then usher in a longer upward phase, with momentum likely to ease only well above the $671.32 level. At the same time, there remains a 33% probability that the stock has already entered this upward phase. In that scenario, turquoise wave alt. 2 would already be complete, and the price would move directly above $671.32 as part of wave alt. 3.
? Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
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17.06.25 - 16:18
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MSTR - EWAVES (TradingView)
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This analysis of MicroStrategy (MSTR) is rooted purely in the principles of Elliott Wave Theory. We are closely monitoring both the inner and outer wave degrees to identify the ongoing structure, potential reversals, and continuation patterns. The goal is to map the impulsive and corrective phases across multiple timeframes, giving a high-probability roadmap of price action. This approach helps in understanding the market's fractal nature and positioning for key inflection points based on wave maturity.
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14.06.25 - 22:21
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$MSTR bear flag forming; Daily $350 target (TradingView)
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Hello, quick mobile chart posting here. Simple looking bear flagging forming. Bitcoin having some downside action, I imagine Saylor will be buying some Bitcoin soon again as well. This should see $350. Looking for a short. + geopolitical turmoil hits crypto/Bitcoin the hardest and most violent. The 20 and 50 EMA are aligned as well with the Supertrend Downtrend showing $350.
WSL.
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