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11.09.26 - 10:24
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Mideast Chaos Sends Supertanker Rates Soaring To $800,000 A Day (ZeroHedge)
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Mideast Chaos Sends Supertanker Rates Soaring To $800,000 A Day
Supertanker rates on the Baltic Exchange's benchmark Middle East-to-China shipping route have surged to a staggering $800,000 a day. With US forces having destroyed five Iranian-linked tankers and Tehran threatening further escalation in recent days, prospects for near-term stabilization remain limited.
The freight surge signals that crude oil and refined products continue to flow but are becoming increasingly costly to transport out of the Gulf region to global markets.
According to Bloomberg, US Gulf-to-Asia shipments on very large crude carriers average about $29.5 million per voyage, equivalent to $15 a barrel before any additional war-risk charges or unexpected delays.
Kpler expects VLCC earnings to remain above $100,000 a day into early next year, compared with historical levels that exceeded $45,000. Morgan Stanley analysts point out that two-year leasing rates could surge another 20% to 30%.
Manu Sehgal, vice president o...
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11.09.26 - 04:39
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Oil Tanker Rates Hit Record Highs as Middle East Shipping Risks Soar (ZeroHedge)
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Oil Tanker Rates Hit Record Highs as Middle East Shipping Risks Soar
By Tsvetana Paraskova of OilPrice.com
Oil tanker rates have jumped to record highs as escalating risks to shipping in and out of the Middle East are prompting traders and tanker operators to undertake inefficient and more expensive trade routes.
While the crude oil supply is actually there, shipping it through the Strait of Hormuz remains a very risky endeavor, especially in light of the escalating U.S.-Iran tanker war in the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, while Saudi Arabia has started to move crude cargoes out of the region through the north of the Red Sea and from Egypt's Mediterranean ports.
The much longer workarounds are tying tankers and supertankers for longer with the shippers, tightening the market of available vessels so much that rates are skyrocketing to all-time highs.
For example, the benchmark daily rate for a very large crude carrier (VLCC) to ship oil from the Middle East to China has hit a record hig...
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10.09.26 - 14:09
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Brent Tops $102 As Mideast Conflict Intensifies, HSBC Hikes Oil Forecast (ZeroHedge)
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Brent Tops $102 As Mideast Conflict Intensifies, HSBC Hikes Oil Forecast
Brent crude futures traded above $102 a barrel Thursday morning after Iran threatened to intensify attacks, renewing concerns over tanker flows through the Hormuz maritime chokepoint. The supply risk extends well beyond crude to mounting shortages of refined products, particularly diesel, as the US diesel crack spread trades around $102 a barrel.
President Trump's indication yesterday that the conflict could continue beyond November's midterm elections suggests limited near-term fuel pump relief for working-class folks, with the US national gasoline average above the politically sensitive $4-a-gallon threshold and diesel at a record high. Trump also announced overnight a proposal for a $5,000 "Trump dividend" check for every American adult if Republicans retain control of both chambers of Congress.
Following Goldman, HSBC raised its 2026 average Brent crude forecast to $90 a barrel from $80, citing continued ...
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09.09.26 - 15:01
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Oil rises past $100 a barrel after latest Middle East attacks (The Hill)
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Oil prices climbed above $100 a barrel Wednesday for the first time since July as renewed fighting in the Middle East raised concerns about further disruptions to global energy supplies. Brent crude, the global benchmark, jumped nearly 3 percent to $100.72 a barrel in early trading, crossing $100 for the first time since late July. ......
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