Foren & Soziale Netzwerke zur AIRBNB Aktie

 

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Airbnb has continued to move in line with our expectations since our last update, steadily approaching support at $108.60. We anticipate that price will break below this level during the ongoing turquoise wave 3 and will not reclaim it during the subsequent wave 4 rebound. In wave 5, we expect another leg lower to ultimately complete the broader correction of beige wave II.

- NASDAQ:ABNB is a classic case of Wall Street showing patience and swallowing valuation using range bound and sideways action. - NASDAQ:ABNB hasn't gotten trash treatment like NASDAQ:TTD , NASDAQ:ADBE which it should have deserved. - NASDAQ:BKNG despite bigger in revenue is growing faster than NASDAQ:ABNB - NASDAQ:ABNB was once considered killer of hotel stays and end up getting just an option. - People who want privacy and luxury have flocked back to hotels. - NASDAQ:ABNB is only decent for group stay of 4+ people. - Regulation crackdown on short term rental in many cities and apartment building around the world will keep a lid on their business model. - Not sure how long would market show patience with NASDAQ:ABNB before start punishing it ;)

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Since our last update, Airbnb has experienced a rebound, which diverted the stock from the anticipated sell-off. However, the price is expected to soon resume its downward trajectory and, as the next key step, break through support at $108.60. This move should complete turquoise wave 3, with all subsequent waves of this downward impulse likely to unfold below this level. Ultimately, the stock is expected to finish the broader correction of the beige wave II. ? Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.

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- Valuation doesn't make sense on $ABNB. - Market is too generous on $ABNB. - NASDAQ:BKNG is defacto king when it comes to travel and booking. Market also reflects that by awarding NASDAQ:BKNG a whooping 180 billion market cap. - NASDAQ:EXPE valuation is too cheap to ignore and revenue numbers are comparable to NASDAQ:ABNB and has market cap of 20 billion. - Even if we give browny points for NASDAQ:ABNB it doesn't make sense to justify $80 billion market cap. NASDAQ:ABNB should at max be 40-45 Billion dollar company generously speaking. - NASDAQ:ABNB fair value is < $80 bucks ideally close to $65

Airbnb's stock has once again come under noticeable upward pressure. However, we primarily classify these increases as a countermovement as part of the bearish wave 3 in turquoise – and accordingly expect a downward reversal soon. During wave 3, the price should finally fall below the support level at $108.60, and the subsequent wave 4 should also remain below this mark, so that the subsequent wave 5 can ultimately complete the entire turquoise downward impulse and the overarching corrective movement of the beige wave II.

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- NASDAQ:ABNB has a sliding moat problem - slumpy housing market + recession incoming should lead to compressed multiple - NASDAQ:ABNB used to be wall street poster child and commanded premium multiple but that moat is no longer here. - NASDAQ:BKNG is the OG of travel booking. - NASDAQ:ABNB is useful only when you are travelling in a big group where booking rooms in a hotel becomes expensive. - Nothing unique about NASDAQ:ABNB , Verbo offers same thing and many hotel aggregator has started showing individual properties owned by owner. - Regulation in cities in favour of long term tenants is welcomed as it will help in easing inflation for rental units which is always sticky. - Technicals looks like a wedge which should break to the downside. Ideally, NASDAQ:ABNB should trade below $85 to look compelling investment. - Otherwise avoid this stock

Airbnb's 50% fibonacci retracement coincides with the middle price of the previous year. Therefore, if we observe a significant increase above 144.81, it would make sense to consider taking a long position.