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09.07.25 - 01:09
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Airbnb: Downtrend Set to Resume Soon (TradingView)
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Since our last update, Airbnb has experienced a rebound, which diverted the stock from the anticipated sell-off. However, the price is expected to soon resume its downward trajectory and, as the next key step, break through support at $108.60. This move should complete turquoise wave 3, with all subsequent waves of this downward impulse likely to unfold below this level. Ultimately, the stock is expected to finish the broader correction of the beige wave II.
? Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
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23.05.25 - 04:12
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Mid life crisis @ $ABNB ; PT < $80 (TradingView)
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- Valuation doesn't make sense on $ABNB.
- Market is too generous on $ABNB.
- NASDAQ:BKNG is defacto king when it comes to travel and booking. Market also reflects that by awarding NASDAQ:BKNG a whooping 180 billion market cap.
- NASDAQ:EXPE valuation is too cheap to ignore and revenue numbers are comparable to NASDAQ:ABNB and has market cap of 20 billion.
- Even if we give browny points for NASDAQ:ABNB it doesn't make sense to justify $80 billion market cap. NASDAQ:ABNB should at max be 40-45 Billion dollar company generously speaking.
- NASDAQ:ABNB fair value is < $80 bucks ideally close to $65
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19.05.25 - 15:57
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Airbnb: Upward pressure (TradingView)
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Airbnb's stock has once again come under noticeable upward pressure. However, we primarily classify these increases as a countermovement as part of the bearish wave 3 in turquoise – and accordingly expect a downward reversal soon. During wave 3, the price should finally fall below the support level at $108.60, and the subsequent wave 4 should also remain below this mark, so that the subsequent wave 5 can ultimately complete the entire turquoise downward impulse and the overarching corrective movement of the beige wave II.
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11.03.25 - 09:09
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$ABNB sliding moat; slumpy housing market + recession incoming (TradingView)
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- NASDAQ:ABNB has a sliding moat problem
- slumpy housing market + recession incoming should lead to compressed multiple
- NASDAQ:ABNB used to be wall street poster child and commanded premium multiple but that moat is no longer here.
- NASDAQ:BKNG is the OG of travel booking.
- NASDAQ:ABNB is useful only when you are travelling in a big group where booking rooms in a hotel becomes expensive.
- Nothing unique about NASDAQ:ABNB , Verbo offers same thing and many hotel aggregator has started showing individual properties owned by owner.
- Regulation in cities in favour of long term tenants is welcomed as it will help in easing inflation for rental units which is always sticky.
- Technicals looks like a wedge which should break to the downside. Ideally, NASDAQ:ABNB should trade below $85 to look compelling investment.
- Otherwise avoid this stock
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04.03.25 - 04:57
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ABNB, ready for its next leg? (TradingView)
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Airbnb's 50% fibonacci retracement coincides with the middle price of the previous year. Therefore, if we observe a significant increase above 144.81, it would make sense to consider taking a long position.
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21.02.25 - 23:21
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Airbnb Looking to Run (TradingView)
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Airbnb looks poised to run to $250. This company has very seasonal revenue so don't expect much for q1, but ABNB being in the INDS index, which is currently consolidating for it's bull run, means ABNB is likely to finally have it's day.
Good luck!
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18.02.25 - 15:06
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ABNB Back On My Radar (TradingView)
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A strong reaction to ABNB earnings put this ticker back on the map for me. Now lets see how it plays out.
Short term bullish momentum: We could see this week, (especially if the NASDAQ and S&P break through to ATHs), this continue up toward 169 before digesting some. If it does this, the retest could be at 161-163, the top of the breakout candle body or wick, or a bit further to the top of the gap at 157. Gap up to go up? Possibly.
Bullish after retest: If this retests just to the 155-157 area, I would deem this as a sign of strength, honoring the gap up without filling it.
Deeper pullback: A breakdown to 148 wouldn't invalidate this as a long position, but I'd want to see it hold up at that level. Otherwise it's back off my list.
As a short term rental owner, the fees have been forever climbing for me and my guests. So if I could get a good chunk back from a couple of plays on this name, I'd feel satisfied lol!
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17.02.25 - 08:42
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$ABNB going up on hopium; Fair value $100-120 (TradingView)
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- NASDAQ:ABNB gave hopium of investing in different business for next 5 years which could grow into a billion dollars.
- Investors should not fall for hopium. Execution remains a challenge and money spent on that bet remains unseen and just a wild dream as of now.
- EPS growth of NASDAQ:ABNB is almost flat for next 2-3 years.
- Hotel industry has caught up to $ABNB. There's no USP ( unique selling point ) of $ABNB. Verbo offers exactly the same thing which NASDAQ:ABNB does.
- Tons of listing have cannibalized net revenue for the host.
- Short term rentals have caused havoc in the rental market for the long term tenants.
Fundamentals wise:
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 4.37 | 5.05 | 5.99 | 7.37
EPS growth % | 9.89% | 15.65% | 18.68% | 22.94%
For a company growing eps mid to high teens deserves a fair forward multiple of 20.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Stock price w p/e 20 | $87 | $101 | $119 | $147
However, many investors would be okay paying 25 times for a company with stron
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12.01.25 - 15:36
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$ABNB $110 target; head and shoulders forming 1M (TradingView)
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Almost a beautiful looking head and shoulders forming here on $ABNB. Honestly, as I sit here now, will the Los Angeles wildfires have any effect on NASDAQ:ABNB negatively or positively? Will hotels get a boost? Let's think about how many Air BNB's got burned away in the Hills? Interesting. I don't have any beliefs in NASDAQ:ABNB $110 is the target and looking at April 17th. Also another revelation occurring.. Robinhood has April 17th as an expiration date but that's a Thursday. What is going on?
WSL
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