Foren & Soziale Netzwerke zur COMFORT SYSTEMS USA Aktie

 

Valuation Reset and Overreaction: The market's 40%+ punishment may have overshot the fundamental impact of the guidance cut. The company is now trading at a much lower valuation multiple (P/E ratio), making it significantly cheaper than its historical average and key competitors. The deep sell-off may have priced in much of the negative news, establishing a compelling entry point for value-oriented investors near the recent 52-week low. Durable Business and Secular Tailwinds: Fiserv remains a global leader in payments and financial technology, serving banks, credit unions, and merchants with mission-critical services (like the Clover platform). The long-term secular trends of digital payments and banking modernization are still intact and will continue to drive demand for Fiserv's core services. Strategic and Operational Focus: Management is proactively addressing the operational missteps that led to the disappointment. The announced "One Fiserv" plan and the executive leadership restructuring are aimed at

- NYSE:FI has kitchen sinked their guidance and is having troubles with debt management. - However, valuation is very attractive and macro pressures could be handled but needs patience. - PEG < 1 - EPS growth is >15% despite slowdown in the earning growth. - I'm not counting on rosy scenarios and only paying willing to pay 10x forward p/e for mid teens eps growth which is very conservative multiple. Ideal multiple would have been 15x - But with bear case, long turn around time, I'm pessimistically giving 10x multiple. - Fair stock value: Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 10.15 | 11.77 | 13.64 | 15.63 EPS% | 15.66% | 15.91% | 15.91% | 14.60% Fair stock price | $101 | $117 | $136 | $156.3

It's been a long time since I've seen a solid company get smoked like this on earnings. I have a price target of 135 for FI. After reporting a very bad miss on their quarterly earnings, shares have dropped 30% in the pre-market trading. From 126 down to 88!! This is lowest price since June 2022. Drops this big tend to have bounces, especially if they hit a strong support level. 88 was a big support in 2022. There's more support at about 85. That said, these types of price crashes are significant and come with heavy risk. As such, I will not be buying. Instead, I'll be selling puts on the volatility as soon as the market opens. I'll be looking to sell a put between 85-88 depending on if there's a bounce before the market opens. And depending on the premium prices.

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I buy broken downtrends. Once a stock is done going down, it might go up.

FI shares have recently continued to move as anticipated, further into our green long Target Zone between $147.45 and $119.30. We primarily expect ongoing sell-offs within the current wave (B), with its low likely to form near the lower boundary of this range. Once this low is established, the final wave (C) of the magenta three-part structure should begin, driving price significantly higher and completing the larger green wave . As a result, the green Target Zone continues to present opportunities for short- to medium-term long entries to capitalize on the upcoming (corrective) upward move. Depending on individual risk tolerance, long positions can be protected with a stop 1% below the lower edge of the zone.

Kursziel: 789.1702 €

10/8/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:FI biggest POS... i mean position - pretty leveraged this puppy on jan '28 leaps to the tune of 25% position, it's the largest one on my book (gross) at the moment - i like the MSD+ fcf yields - financials have been holding up, well (well... fintech seems to have found a floor) - clover this, clover that... i think the market forgets that's not even this co's main business and btw clover is kicking buzz and taking names - "others were lending, fiserv is too conservative" - you seen the consumer data? some pretty awful prints. i think SMB stuffs probably reflect similar - so i like that they've used prudence. check plus to mgmt. i like people who don't run my business like it's a quantum space laser light show "and you'll see, you'll see" in 2035 - so yeah, if you're in it for the HSD+ growth (and probably more) - if you like stable coins - then get a pina colada - oh - and i like some ST juice (small ITM calls into the print) - why? b/c i could see some grossing up for folks t

The bullish (long) case for Fiserv, Inc. (FI) is primarily driven by its significant undervaluation relative to its strong fundamental growth and a favorable analyst outlook, despite recent negative technical price action. Significant Undervaluation: Multiple analyses suggest the stock is trading at a substantial discount, with one model estimating it is undervalued by 38.7% and another by up to 44% compared to an intrinsic value of $230.64. Strong Analyst Price Targets: The consensus among analysts is a "Buy" or "Strong Buy" rating. The average price target is $184.93, representing a potential 42.74% upside from a recent closing price. The median analyst target is even higher at $196.00. Favorable Valuation Metrics: The stock earns a "Value Score" of 'B' from some rating services, indicating it may be a solid pick for value investors. Fundamental and Growth Drivers Fiserv's business segments provide a clear path for future revenue and earnings expansion: High Earnings Growth: Earnings are forecast to

9/19/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:FI A lil weird, tbh - well let's start by reflecting... "what's not weird". - okay - on one hand the market is almost obviously over it's skis on stocks where fundamentals are something of a "we'll see in 3 years" - and where you have high quality payment names (like NYSE:FI , NYSE:PAYC , NYSE:CPAY etc.) that trade as if the world is falling apart - which for the most part is true - so it's hard to bridge this reality. - my sense is we remain in a v toppy tape. correlation 1 across the board on revenue-lite-(or-less) names is usually what you see at *local* tops and correlation 1 across the board on quality is what you typically see at *local* bottoms. - so it's my contention that quad witch and month-end would bring some weird action. it's not surprising where HQ equities (mag7) offer some capital to risk-take off the whippet spectrum. you see the same thing in crypto during "alt season" either BTC goes side ways or is not ripping massively higher. that allows rotation ou

Kursziel: 689.472 €

Kursziel: 604.707 €

07.23.2025 / NYSE:FI Fundamentals. The earnings report exceeded expectations. Technical analysis. Daily chart: Downtrend Premarket: Gap Down on increased volume. We mark the premarket low of 136.0 Trading session: The price did not continue the downward movement and formed an uptrend after the initial impulse down. The key moment is the reaction to the level of 136.0: if the downward trend will continue or the trend change to an uptrend will be confirmed. We observe the price tightening to the level of 136.0 against the uptrend with a clear hold of the level, after breakout the level. We consider a long trade to continue the upward movement in case tightening structure is broken upward. Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false_tightening) to level 136.0 Entry: 137.21 when the tightening structure is broken with exit upwards. Stop: 135.79 we hide it behind the tail of the last pullback. Exit: You can hold the position until the end of the session with due patience. Risk R

7/22/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:FI Smol long into tmr AM print - sub 20x PE and 2x peg (pf adj. for debt) is reasonable for mkt leader - like the stable coin angle, think they really talk this up... as i've written about previously - v "consumer" exposed (similar to how i wrote about NYSE:DECK ). if this name sells off hard, i'd be happy to 2...3x the size of position, lower and ITM with a longer-duration strike - but ultimately at 5% fcf yield, strong mgmt, mkt leader... the setup is probably a 7/10 long and usually i take these pitches but size moderate in order to not lose too much, more of a sharpen the knife position... and remain on my radar to make bigger move if/as. not wed to the stock, think there's other stuff i'd want to own LT instead, but interesting trade for my consideration/ book whatchu think anon? V

Kursziel: 497.6265 €

Kursziel: 537.516 €

6/23/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:FI If you like NYSE:CRCL u should like NYSE:FI more - all banks will have their own stable coins - but for a player like FI what makes their launch so unique is that it can/ will likely be used for much more txn volume than any given bank based on their payments role/ pole position - at 4.5% fcf yield, growing just fine, stock isn't an obvious buy - but given the px action on $crcle (which now trades above it's USDC mkt cap - go figure), and the scarcity of stable-coin beta (apparently this one is getting all the attention), it wouldn't surprise me if NYSE:FI gets some love - and at least you're more protected on the downside valuation-wise ( NYSE:CRCL is just... odd. careful fam). flagging V

Insiders have sold $239 Million shares on MAY 29TH. We expect price to rally from these lows to visit the 50% Fib levels. This is a contrarian play as 4,024 Puts are in play which means more Bears are betting on a drop. This means a lot of Stop Loss orders are prime above the $170 level. This will be a Fade the market play.

Hello, NYSE:FI Fiserv evidently got hammered to the downside the last month and last few months the name is down 30% from it's all time high from March 2025 and last month and change it is down 25% or so after downgrades. I have been watching the name the last week or so and I was looking for a drop into a zone of activity in the $152-$154 but it seems that $158-$160 is a strong area of support. Now I am tempted to grab some calls on this name but I am unsure the outcome. The latest Daily candle accumulated the most volume it's had in 2 weeks above 11 million. It bounced off the zone area highlighted. The calls I added to my watch were $170c for 7/18, last week they bottomed around $2.00-$2.20 and they closed (5/30/2025) at $3.30. That's a good move in itself. Will be watching. WSL

- NYSE:FI is big recognizable brand in Point of Sales. You might have seen clover handheld machines. - I believe fundamentals on this blue chip company is getting cheap. I'm not going all in but have started DCA into this name. - If it falls further 20-30 or even 40% I will be happy to DCA further. - Fundamentally, I am buying it close to fair value. Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 10.21 | 11.91 | 13.88 | 15.72 EPS% | 16.35% | 16.63% | 16.51% | 13.25% - Any company which is growing EPS% mid teens with a recognizable brand value deserves a fair forward p/e of 20 Base Case Fair Value w/ forward p/e = 20: Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Fair Value | $204 | $238 | $277.6 | $314.4 Conservative Base Case fair value w/ forward p/e=15: Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Fair Value | $153.15 | $178.65 | $208.2 | $235 Bull Case Fair value w/ forward p/e=25: Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Fair Value | $255 | $297 | $347 | $393 Bear Case fair value w/ forward p/e