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21.01.26 - 16:06
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Nvidia: Downward Pressure (TradingView)
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Since the end of last week, Nvidia has been facing increasing downward pressure. Our primary scenario, however, calls for a recovery and suggests that the stock should complete the green wave closer to but still below the resistance at $212.16. The subsequent wave should then finalize the larger correction of the beige wave IV above the support at $145.50. Afterward, we expect robust gains into our red Target Zone between $227.38 and $260.60, where the major uptrend of the lime-green wave is likely to conclude. Nonetheless, there's a 33% chance that NVDA already completed wave alt. at $212.16. In this case, the next move would dip below the $145.50 support.
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17.01.26 - 15:33
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$NVDA — H200 suppliers have paused production due to Chinese cus (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:NVDA — added to my short yesterday in after-hours on the news that H200 suppliers have paused production due to Chinese customs blocking shipments.
Worth noting: in December, NVDA rallied ~$20 on similar headlines. That kind of reaction late in a trend often signals exhaustion, not strength.
Technically, a shoulder–head–shoulders structure is developing. These patterns break lower about 60% of the time over a full cycle.
Late in strong trends, each new high increases the odds of reversal as profit-taking pressure builds. For now, the risk–reward still favors downside, in my view.
While my longer-term view still targets a move back to double digits, I'll trade in and out on shorter-term short setups to improve probabilities and reduce the risk of giving back open profits.
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08.01.26 - 16:00
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$NVDA — Bearish Resolution Risk (TradingView)
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Bears are attempting a breakdown from this two-week compression range. After a prolonged compression, a decisive move is usually the next phase — and at the moment, it looks like bears are gaining control.
I expect NVIDIA to revisit double-digit prices this year. While the company will likely continue to beat earnings in the near term, there comes a point where earnings beats alone are no longer sufficient to sustain valuation — and I believe we're approaching that phase now.
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07.01.26 - 19:24
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NVDA – Consolidation Breakout Toward 200 Core Resistance? (TradingView)
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? Downside structure
Looking at NVDA on the daily chart, one level clearly stands out on the downside:
170 PUT support , where price has bounced multiple times in the past. This level has been well defended by put positioning, creating a solid structural floor. ?
? Consolidation behavior
Over the past weeks, price spent a considerable amount of time sitting on the 50-day moving average , repeatedly testing it from below but failing to break through decisively. That dynamic now appears to be changing. NVDA is starting to push higher, suggesting a potential breakout from this consolidation range. ?
? Upside reference level
If this breakout holds, the next key level to watch is 200 Call Resistance . This is currently the largest Call Resistance on the board, and it also aligns with an 8/8 MM level , adding technical confluence to the zone. ?
? Options sentiment context
What's important here is sentiment:
? Call Pricing Skew is currently minimal, meaning the options market is not aggressively p
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