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28.08.25 - 16:06
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8/28/25 - $okta - Post mortem (TradingView)
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8/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:OKTA
Post mortem
- solid 2q beat w enterprise traction and pipeline is a thumbs up
- their go to mkt and the panw m&a in the last q def don't help the market's ability to trade this cleanly
- AI not yet pushing the story and i suspect this takes a bit longer (generally not company specific) but will be great tailwinds esp on mgn
- that being said, of all my oppties in the tape today (where there are few if i'm being honest that are "obvious" - not many at all), this is defn not super clean
- so if it just works from here, god bless
- stock is objectively a LT buy, IMHO here
- but i'd think it becomes more obvious if we get a dip in mkt beta and sends this in the low 80s, that's where i can look for a longer term parking spot and not have to babysit. i don't like babysitting.
- rn i'm just buying OTC:OBTC and hedging that spread w/ ibit puts. seems like a fairly clean way to capture 15% by year-end
- gl to all
V
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28.08.25 - 05:18
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Clean Support and consolidation - Support buy Swing setup (TradingView)
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Weekly/Monthly Chart looking constructive with clear consolidation since may 2022 up till now
Key Levels $115 / $87 / $70 and $100(just adding this to pay my respect for Psych levels :D)
VRVP clearly crossed above that $87 in Jan 2025 and then held it even though 6 months touched it but never broke it.
Pros-
Earnings were good !!
Price Targets raised by 4 Analysts !!
$100 psych is a magnet to pull us up !!!
Relative strength showing the love is coming anyday now
I dont see no Baggies between 115 to 87, PA is constructive here.
How il play
+added first tranch
+next adds will be once 21 ema crosses 50 and on that Pull backs
-Cutting if 87 gives up !! But ready to re add WHY?
They are in the IAM bussiness and top 3 next to microsft and ibm, industry will grow to $73 billion in 2035 and currently $33 billion but room to grow But more importantly
Fed is ready to cut and market has liquidity. Its a Bull market unless proven otherwise so lets make that money but Risk Management first, its atleast a 2R trade so
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12.08.25 - 15:51
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8/12/25 - $okta - When r we buying this again? (TradingView)
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8/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:OKTA
When r we buying this again?
- mid singles EV/sales
- DD growth
- great opex flex
- super lucrative mkt and big lock in
- not competing against bignames NASDAQ:ZS , NASDAQ:PANW etc.
- fcf gen is healthy 2-3% if we ex SBC, closer to HSD if we incl. SBC (i.e. take it out)
- seems like we're eventually entering some good buy territory?
- will this get taken out?
V
PS - traveling this week, so will be spotty on thoughts
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03.06.25 - 21:09
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OKTA Trade Analysis | Technical Swing Setup with ~9% Upside (TradingView)
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Entry: $104.43
Target: $114.76
Stop: $100.90
Risk/Reward: 2.93
This swing trade in OKTA was initiated following a pullback to key technical support levels. Price action has stabilized near the top of the Ichimoku cloud (Senkou Span A), which aligns with the daily Pivot Point around $100.58. The bullish cloud structure remains intact, and the Kijun-sen is flat—both signs that the broader trend is still constructive.
While the MACD histogram is negative, the deceleration in selling pressure suggests potential for momentum to reverse. Previous setups with similar MACD behavior in April led to a strong move higher. The target aligns with R1 resistance at $112.71, giving the trade a clearly defined technical ceiling. Candlestick action over the past few days has shown lower wicks and rejection of downside, pointing to early signs of buyer interest.
This is a trend-continuation setup with a tight stop below the cloud. If price closes under $100.90, the trade will be exited to manage risk. Until then, the structu
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