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18.05.26 - 05:42
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AMD May 18 Setup: Momentum Breakdown Still Not Finished (TradingView)
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AMD continues showing one of the weakest structures among semiconductor names right now. The 15-minute chart remains trapped in a steady selloff with almost no meaningful recovery attempts. Every bounce has been shallow, and sellers continue pressing price lower into the close.
Going into May 18, AMD still looks vulnerable unless buyers can suddenly reclaim key resistance zones early in the session.
On the 15-minute chart, AMD closed around 420 after a persistent intraday bleed lower. Price remains far below the major moving averages while RSI is sitting near deeply oversold territory. That usually tells me momentum is still favoring sellers, even if a temporary bounce happens.
The structure currently resembles a continuation breakdown rather than capitulation. In other words, the market is slowly walking price lower instead of panic dumping it. That type of trend can become dangerous because traders keep expecting a bounce that never fully develops.
Key levels I'm watching:
Support:
420.0
410.0
400.0
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07.05.26 - 13:09
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One Great Trade Beats Ten Mid Ones. How to Do the Math. (TradingView)
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There is a version of trading that looks very busy. Lots of positions, lots of activity, lots of small wins to screenshot and feel successful.
There is another version that looks almost boring. A few carefully selected trades, sized with conviction, held with patience.
One of these versions builds accounts. The other builds a highlight reel with an embarrassing P&L.
The math behind concentration is not complicated. It is just uncomfortable, because it asks you to do less, and doing less feels like falling behind in a market that's always moving.
? The Numbers That Make the Case
Take two traders, both starting with $10,000.
Trader A takes ten positions, risking 1% of capital on each. A hundred bucks. A few work, a few fail, and after commissions and the general friction of being in too many trades at once, the net result is a 4% gain. Respectable. Unremarkable. $10,400.
Trader B waits. Watches. Passes on eight of those same setups because they are fine but not high reward.
Then two trades arrive t
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06.05.26 - 15:54
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AMD Long — AMD breaks out on blowout AI earnings with call/put f (TradingView)
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Setup: AMD gapped 19% on earnings, breaking decisively above the prior 340-360 consolidation range on massive volume — the 4h chart shows a clean vertical move from the 300-350 base that had formed over several weeks. The LTF 1h bars show the gap open at ~409, immediate bid to 430+, then a healthy intraday pullback to ~395 before recovering to ~420. Price is now consolidating just above the round 420 level with the most recent bar showing the 400 gap-fill zone held as support on the pullback. Volume on the gap bar dwarfed all prior sessions, confirming institutional accumulation.
Flow: Options flow is overwhelmingly bullish — call/put premium ratio near 8.4:1, 24 bullish trades vs 8 bearish, and net bullish premium of ~$6.96M vs $1.45M bearish. Deep-ITM calls were taken aggressively on the ask across the 355-380 strikes for the May 8 and May 15 expiries, confirming directional conviction rather than hedging. The $405P May 29 block (~$2.1M notional) is the primary contra-signal, likely a hedge or collar rathe
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27.04.26 - 05:48
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AMD Intraday Preview — 04-27 (TradingView)
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Heading into Monday's session, AMD is sitting at 348.90 in premarket — right in the teeth of a significant gamma wall and carrying a 10.32% gap from Friday's prior day close of 305.24. That is not a typo. Friday's session opened at 336.76, tore through its opening range high, and closed the session well above VWAP at 346.02. The 9 EMA and 20 EMA are coiled just under current price at 348.98 and 348.74 respectively. Monday's open is going to feel the weight of that 350 call wall immediately. Positive GEX regime, gap-and-hold or gap-and-fade setup — this is not a morning to autopilot.
The framework for Monday is mean reversion respect. We're not in a trending regime, and the GEX walls are going to matter more than usual. Trade the levels, not the momentum.
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## 1. Session Context — Where We Left Off
Friday's session left AMD with an enormous footprint. The gap up from Thursday's prior day close of 305.24 to Friday's open of 336.76 was 10.32% — a massive move that established a wide range (session low 334.
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24.04.26 - 12:24
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Time to exit AMD (TradingView)
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With Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) now reaching the upper boundary of a well-respected long-term channel, we believe this is an appropriate point to take profits.
Several technical signals are aligning, suggesting that upside may be limited in the near term while downside risk is increasing.
First, price has extended above the upper Bollinger Band, which often behaves like an elastic band, when stretched too far, it tends to revert back toward the mean (the basis). This kind of extension typically indicates short-term overextension rather than sustainable momentum.
Second, RSI is firmly in overbought territory, reinforcing the idea that the recent move may be overheated. AMD has experienced a rapid surge over the past few weeks, which further increases the probability of a pullback or consolidation phase.
From a risk-reward perspective, we now see greater downside risk than upside potential at current levels. While the long-term fundamentals and structural story for AMD remain strong, the current tech
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