Foren & Soziale Netzwerke zur NEXTCURE Aktie

 

6/17/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT What changes? My plan... - a few TL;DR comments before i copy/paste from a msg i sent a friend, in order to keep things efficient on my end. - i don't think rushing to BTFD makes sense here (for me) - my exposure is well-managed (15% 2027 LEAPS at about 1.5x leverage), don't feel compelled to size up or down. now the thread if it helps frame my mindset/ trading plan... they trade as a basket, the residential stuff was always unownable even considering "credits" in this environment b/c who is paying to install these things when interest rates are so high, the payback period is >10yr and going to the grocery store burns... ...with that being said, what will likely happen is that a TON of demand (for the utility guys - namely NASDAQ:NXT > NASDAQ:FSLR > NASDAQ:ARRY > NASDAQ:SHLS ) will get pulled forward this year and next and they're going to produce tons of cash. BUT... ...the market simply cannot care about this right now (it's how the market thinks). while i'm t

5/14/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT U ready? - results AMC today - stock has run nicely on, frankly, a number of solar-positive headlines/ regulation and decent results from comps ( NASDAQ:ARRY ) and even donuts ( NASDAQ:RUN ). - realistically, mgmt tends to be conservative, so based on this run... that's the potential for give-back - but results should be solid - i remain of the view that we'll print a $1 bn revenue quarter at some pt this year - so direction is higher - and i'm only adding on any dips - $40 was the new $30... now $50 is the new $40. so i'm a buyer in the mid 40s with conviction - let's see. - sized about 20% on 2x leverage. not a small position, also not as big as it was prior to the dippity do dah. - but worked back to high water mk on portfolio (+25% YTD), so looking to neck out on high conviction picks, but still back to stacking about 20% cash in the book for potential dip buys and strategic situations. - i remain of the view that OTC:OBTC remains a top pick, too, which is 10% off

3/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT better than bitcoin - i fkn love bitcoin - but nextracker generates mountains of cash - and it's not subtle about eating competition. array is getting it's skin torn off as we speak by TrueCapture - forget the wallsheet estimates. they're pansies. they don't neck out. because their job is "keep muh job" been there done that. - then i joined the make money world and what u do in this world is develop an edge. - u ready? - billion dollar revenue quarters - $800 mn in FCF. - buybacks - absolutely irreplaceable A team C-team. even calling them C-level is an insult. these guys r A-team. - mr T and chuck norris are dan shugar's personal driver and security staff. - i've posted about this stonk so much. mainly because there's LITERALLY nothing like it listed in the public markets. michael saylor couldn't even wish bitcoin high enough to make NASDAQ:MSTR a relevant challenge to what NASDAQ:NXT will deliver in the coming quarters AND YEARS. - so bags are packed. and i'm payin

3/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT NXT, Bitcoin, NVDA... that's it down to 3 positions the kings nxt - massively understated growth, mgns, consensus cash and buybacks coming (50% position in deep ITM LEAPS) bitcoin - there is no second best. way higher, even if we do a dip to 60s, 70s ST... who knows. (30% position) nvda - 25x PE for 50% CAGR. cash machine (10% position in deep ITM LEAPS) looking to only own the highest conviction stuff in trumps chaos tape where downside maybe 20-30% max but where even based on where we r today, upside is already 2-3x to 1 plus. 10 cash. probably goes to NXT to bitcoin if/when OBTC gets you 10% off spot ;) be well. omg. but we've seen this before. V

2/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT Loaded again. - this is the sort of hunter brandon style crack tape that requires you to find a. names that are crushing it, b. not known or appreciated and c. where you have an edge. all three. - i've been doing some deeper work on the name and to return w/ more deets in due time. but let me make abundantly clear how asleep at the wheel the street is on this thing. - they've done $1 bn in bookings a quarter for 8 quarters. revenue has never punched a $1 bn level. last quarter it was a massive beat at sub $700 mm. - at some pt sooner than later you'll see the $1 bn quarter. the $3 ish bn in revenue this year... will look more like $4 bn. and the incremental 200 mm in FCF will mean this thing is pushing 700+ mm in FCF, buying back stock (turns that on in 2H) and you put a 5% discount rate on that growth (probably conservative) and this name is $100. - does it go to $30, $35... test $40 again? idk. idc. - i'm risk managed. packing cash. just can't find a better home fo

1/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT Long like a clown. - i'm breaking some risk mgmt rules here b/c i'm still pulling 10% ytd even after y'day's massive give-back. - have dumped my NASDAQ:NVDA (juice that i added y'day) and a lot of the NYSE:TSM and a few others. even some $btc. - while i don't claim to know how the stock will trade this result, let's make a few things abundantly clear: 1/ this company has a track record of beating, beating, beating. could they miss? backlog shrink. sure. 2/ is industrial solar a rising tide besides what agent orange and oil mafia, nuclear bros say? yes. it's literally unstoppable. 3/ highest ROIC in the industry, nearly 100% FCF conversion and 15-20% fcf mgns. 4/ net cash 5/ and perhaps the most understated fact: dan (the man) shugar, ceo, founded this co with 4 mm dollars over 10 yrs ago. he remains at the helm and he's been ripping the ball off the cover for this long. you couldn't find a more capable leader and track record. all these tech-bros saying "founde

- a name i've written most about - have traded it around, but remained pretty large (since the big eps pop i've taken some off the table to play some btc related stuff, some win's, some L's across the board) - but at this level ~50% retrace from pre-EPS to post-EPS peak, you're looking at $6 of upside/ vs $6 of downside. why this is important is that this is a name where you can feel comfortable buying lower with conviction so the risk weighted up/downside is probably now a 2-1 in the ST. - but zoom out. - stock does about $3 of cash (literally one of the best free cash flow converters i've come across... net income -> cash). HIGH ROE's on this puppy. growing backlog. great CEO. leader in the tracker category set to dominate the software side of biz in the coming years. - so 10% fcf yield on a 10-15% grower is simply put... an extended black friday cyber monday sale. - if the market dumps, you can expect this one probably remains a weak link, unfortunately. the solar factor remains a tough one to own - while

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