Foren & Soziale Netzwerke zur LULULEMON Aktie

 

OptionsMastery: ?Sound on!? ?Make sure to watch fullscreen!? Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!

6/16/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LULU Comment at low $240s - see comment from 6/6/25 about why $260 post EPS was "interesting" but not obvious to own ST - now we're only down a modest ~10% from there, so not much has really changed, except discretionary stocks have further drained. so this is not LULU specific per se, but sector/ factor beta - when you take LT leases out of the EV of ~29.3 bn as of writing, or about 1.5 bn = you get ~27.8 bn. when you consider PF capex is about 500 mm (ex growth)... you end up with FCF this year of ~1.5 bn. so 1.5/ 27.8 = 5.4%. - in the current macro where consumer has yet to really trough, or where we get "all clear cut to rates" (which is not my base case - if anything i think rates could stay sticky or even head higher in the ST), this means yield for this type of name post the last EPS comms might have to approach 6-7% all else equal - the mid teens PE of ~16x is "buy" (again referencing the last note), but in this sort of macro/ environment, 13...14...15x is also reason

Kursziel: 323.343 €

Kursziel: 174.78 €

Kursziel: 283.1436 €

Kursziel: 264.7917 €

Kursziel: 253.431 €

Kursziel: 353.9295 €

Kursziel: 305.865 €

6/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LULU Buy $260s, but not "need" to own - stock is objectively a buy here in the $260s, let's get that out of the way - but when it comes to "what can happen next" or "what's the floor/drawdown", i think a few considerations - flat EPS guide in '25 is not bc of structural issues w brand, so high teens PE esp on '26 #s is reasonable and FCF supports in mid to high 4s on '26 ests. - the main fly in the ointment is obviously the US consumer and recession issues (second would be tariffs and ability to take price - which they talked on conf call - into this "weaker" consumer) - ultimately i'd expect the stock to recover a bit here into the high $200s... perhaps $280 such macro doesn't fall to pieces immediately, but will be hard to see stock recover $300 soon. - i also tend to think the lows could be tested if we get a risk off moment sooner vs. later - and this isn't a "need to own" in my book at the moment, esp while i'm packing high conviction on obtc, nxt, gamb, tsm and starting

Kursziel: 326.4123 €

Kursziel: 350.04 €

Kursziel: 338.6075 €

Kursziel: 305.7256 €

Kursziel: -

Kursziel: -

Kursziel: 341.6198 €

Kursziel: 321.6889 €

Kursziel: 334.332 €

Kursziel: -