Foren & Soziale Netzwerke zur NETFLIX Aktie

 

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Kursziel: 98.808 €

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Kursziel: 98.6355 €

The 4-hour chart of Netflix shows a corrective decline followed by price stabilization in the 88–90 USD area. This zone currently acts as a key technical support, where buying interest previously emerged, suggesting potential short-term exhaustion of selling pressure. After a sharp sell-off, downside momentum has clearly weakened, and price action is becoming more orderly. Recent candles indicate an attempt to build a local base, which often precedes a corrective move to the upside. In addition, the price is trading well below key moving averages, increasing the probability of a mean-reversion move back toward those levels. From a technical perspective, the next significant upside target is the 116 USD area, which aligns with previous swing lows and a strong historical reaction zone. A breakout from the current consolidation range and sustained trading above the 90 USD level could trigger a stronger corrective rally toward this target. In summary, the chart structure suggests the potential for a short-term

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Kursziel: 103.0 €

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Time Horizon: Long-term Directional Bias: Bullish (Long) The "Big Picture" (Summary) We hold a High Conviction bullish bias on Netflix. The market is currently mispricing the company's "Mega-Merger" with Warner Bros.. While investors are fearful of the debt load, we view this as a "Generational Consolidation" event. Netflix is acquiring prime assets like HBO and Harry Potter while rejecting the toxic, declining linear cable networks. The Analysis (Why We Are Bullish) The Valuation Disconnect: Our bullish stance is built on a valuation arbitrage. The stock trades at roughly 36x this year's earnings. However, because the market is ignoring the "cherry-picked" nature of the deal, you are effectively paying only 21.6x for the projected 2027 earnings. We are buying future growth at a historical discount. Underlying Strength vs. Headline Noise: The recent price action has been dampened by a "red flag" in the Q3 earnings: a $619M tax charge in Brazil. This one-time event masked the reality that organic revenue

In the medium term, a bearish outlook is expected, with prices falling to $75-79. In the short term, a slight recovery may be possible to $104, $110 and $118

As the purchase process of Warner Bros Discovery moves into 2026, investors will probably next look to how Netflix handles the remaining $34 billion in debt. Will they dump new shares on investors?

The Netflix–Warner Bros. Discovery deal should be assessed primarily through balance sheet dynamics and asset monetization, not content strategy. It highlights how capital structure and asset quality now drive bargaining power in the streaming sector. Netflix approaches the deal from a position of financial strength. The company enhances its content offering without expanding its asset base or increasing leverage. No incremental capex, no balance sheet strain. Licensed content improves return on invested capital and supports free cash flow, which remains the core valuation driver for the stock. Netflix continues to trade as a cash-generating platform rather than a content-heavy studio. Warner Bros. Discovery enters the agreement under clear financial constraints. As of the latest reported quarter, total assets stand at approximately $100.5 billion. The bulk of this figure is tied to non-current assets, primarily film and television content libraries, production rights, and intangible assets. Current assets

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Netflix stock end of 2025 forecast analysis. Netflix american stock has reached a decent and strong monthly imbalance trading at $98 per share. Let's see if the streaming company wants to move to higher prices before the end of 2025. The bullish impulse is made of strong bullish candlestick bodies created between April and June 2025. It took a few months to pull back but Netflix is there now.

Kursziel: 103.0678 €

- Dropped 40% from ATH - Still a safer asset if the economy were to weaken, since they are going full speed on the Ad-tier plan - Based on RSI, it is oversold. - Most of the negative reaction to the acquisition of Warner Bros. has been priced in. On the other hand, if Warner decides to call off the deal to pursue a different merger, the stock would immediately increase since they would also collect a $2.8 billion breakup fee - If they do win the bid, they would acquire more content and IP, which would improve the product long term; and it would also help lower CACs. So I see some positives either way if you bet on this long term. - YTP dropped to single digits; Lowest PE going back to 2023. As a blue chip that is growing with a strong customer base and great content, its fundamentals don't justify the price. Bought at 93 TP: 115 There is another supportat 85

How low can the knife fall? I have drawn 2 support lines, hopefully it will bounce soon, because I have gotten on the train too early, lol.