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03.11.25 - 23:24
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Rebound Setup: Limit-Buy after Short-Term Exhaustion (MSFT) (TradingView)
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Hi Traders
This is a systematic mean-reversion setup I use across liquid ETFs and large-cap equities.
The goal is simple: enter weakness into exhaustion, not falling knives.
I will place a limit order for MSFT at $511.86. If the order remains unfilled, I will cancel it at the close of trading tomorrow.
Key Concepts:
Oversold short-term conditions
Price deviation vs recent mean
Volume/volatility context
Limit order for the next session only when criteria align
Exit next session open (or rules-based exit, depending on version)
I don't chase dips — I predefine levels and only enter when price comes to me. This trade idea triggered a limit buy level for today on EFA at 93.55.
General notes:
Works best in mean-reverting environments
Avoid news catalysts & low-liquidity names
This is not a signal service — just a research-based framework
If you like data-driven, rule-based setups, follow along —
I will share more systematic edge ideas like this.
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03.11.25 - 21:42
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Microsoft: Wave X Top Confirmed! (TradingView)
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As primarily anticipated, Microsoft shares recently reached the high of turquoise wave X just below resistance at $562.17 before quickly reversing lower. This decline, part of the same-colored wave Y, is likely to bottom within our magenta long Target Zone between $477.87 and $451.84, where we also expect the low of magenta wave (4). In our view, this range presents attractive opportunities for long positions, as we anticipate a renewed upward move during magenta wave (5) to follow. This rally should push price above the $562.17 resistance and complete the larger blue wave (I). Alternatively, we see a scenario in which the high at $562.17 marked only the end of beige wave alt.III (probability: 36%). In this case, a drop below the $392.97 support would be expected to form the low of wave alt.IV.
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02.11.25 - 21:45
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QQQ Generals (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA) (TradingView)
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Each stock is in a primary uptrend, but with slightly different phases of momentum - you're seeing a bit of divergence among the “QQQ generals,' which is important
AAPL
Grinding higher, above 50d MA & within upper Bollinger band
Still trending, but upper wicks = supply around $275-$277; likely digestion area
MSFT
Pullback from $555 to ~$520 after new highs
Healthy retrace toward 50d MA so watch for higher low near $510-$515
NVDA
Leading - broke out above prior $195 resistance, holding gains
Most bullish of the 3; small-bodied candle near top = consolidation before next leg
All 3 show small bodies with upper wicks, meaning buyers pushed early, but met resistance - a pause, not yet reversal
No major bearish engulfing or heavy volume sell candle which suggests profit-taking, not panic
RSI
AAPL ~62 - mid-uptrend, not overbought
MSFT ~56 - cooling, but healthy
NVDA ~56 - steady strength
RSI readings between 55-65 indicate trend continuation (no exhaustion yet)
Stochastic
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27.10.25 - 17:42
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$MSFT – 338% Bullish Run & Three Flag Structures (Weekly Chart) (TradingView)
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Since 2020, NASDAQ:MSFT has been in a powerful and sustained uptrend, delivering a 338% total return while forming three textbook bull flags. The move has been supported by consistently strong fundamentals, with only one earnings miss in the last five years, reinforcing institutional confidence and long-term accumulation.
Phase 1 – The First Flagpole & Measured Move
The first major flagpole began in early 2020, generating a 168% advance before retracing ~38% — a classic one-third pullback that confirmed the underlying strength of the trend.
From there, price broke out cleanly, retested the upper flag trendline, and completed a 1:1 measured move of the flagpole, producing an 83% gain from $249 → $464.
This first structure set the tone for what followed: consistent impulse → retrace → consolidation → continuation — each wave adhering closely to measured technical proportions.
Phase 2 – The Second Flag: Reduced Retracement, Stronger Momentum
The second bull flag mirrored the earlier setup but displayed e
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