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19.12.25 - 21:36
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$MSFT short (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:MSFT short, will work as a hedge to my many open long positions if something happens during the weekend.
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12.12.25 - 20:09
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MSFT – Potential Upside Squeeze Setup? (TradingView)
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MSFT is currently forming a constructive structure with clearly defined levels.
On the downside, the 475 put support has been defended three separate times, signaling strong positioning interest and consistent absorption of selling pressure. Price continues to hold above the HVL , with an extremely narrow transition zone and a broadening upward-tilted positive GEX profile — all reinforcing structural stability.
If price breaks upward from the first call wall at 480 , this typically favors continuation rather than any sustained move lower.
Upside levels :
The next major call resistance sits at 500 — which also aligns with the 8/8 level on the MM grid system . This creates a very strong confluence, making 500 a significant resistance zone.
If price cleanly accepts and pushes through 500, dealer hedging flows can accelerate, potentially triggering an upside squeeze — with an initial upside extension capped near 520 .
If momentum continues to build above 500, the next substantial call resi
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10.12.25 - 13:39
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$MSFT double top into resistance is a loud sell signal (TradingView)
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GM traders — just re-entered a NASDAQ:MSFT short. The double top into resistance was a loud “sell” signal for me.
Fundamental backdrop is lining up too: several outlets citing Reuters/enterprise checks say Microsoft cut AI sales growth targets after reps missed quotas and customers were slower to adopt “AI agents.” That reads as near-term demand friction for parts of Copilot/agent monetization.
Even if Azure remains strong, this kind of headline is a sentiment hit — it suggests the AI revenue ramp may be bumpier than bulls were pricing in.
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09.12.25 - 01:36
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MSF /Tageschart / Widerstandsbereich (TradingView)
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Aktuell befindet sich MSF mit 414 € in einem Abwärtstrend.
Ab 402 bis 366€ beginnt eine interessante Zone! (Lila Box)
Kurzform: Tauchen wir ein und prallen nicht direkt ab, dann sind die 366 € möglich! Evtl. mit einer Seitwärtsphase, die dann länger anhält.
Aufwärtstrendüberlegungen für mich erst ab 441 €!
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05.12.25 - 20:15
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MSF /Tageschart / Widerstandsbereich (TradingView)
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Aktuell befindet sich MSF mit 414 € in einem Abwärtstrend.
Ab 402 bis 366€ beginnt eine interessante Zone! (Lila Box)
Kurzform: Tauchen wir ein und prallen nicht direkt ab, dann sind die 366 € möglich! Evtl. mit einer Seitwärtsphase, die dann länger anhält.
Aufwärtstrendüberlegungen für mich erst ab 441 €!
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03.12.25 - 17:06
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$MSFT Bottom $455 oversold $425 (TradingView)
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NASDAQ:MSFT Is a predictable machine $455 is the bottom margin for error could drop $425 in oversold situation.
All their fundamentals align and show the same pattern every time.
typically around this time we should see a dip which finds support at the last wave's highs.
there really isnt more explanation needed for this...
unless... we have a yen carry trade unwind.. that's a different story..
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01.12.25 - 18:12
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Microsoft: Target Zone Hit! (TradingView)
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Microsoft has reached our green Long Target Zone between $451.84 and $477.87 as anticipated. In the meantime, the stock has successfully completed the magenta wave (4) and has since broken out of the Target Zone to the upside. We now expect further gains as wave (5) unfolds, targeting a move above the resistance at $562.17, where the larger blue wave (I) is expected to conclude. After that, we anticipate a pronounced correction phase. However, there remains a 38% chance that MSFT could break down through the Target Zone and fall below the support at $392.97. In this case, we would reclassify the last significant high at $562.17 as the top of the beige wave alt.III and prepare for a new low in wave alt.IV .
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21.11.25 - 09:54
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Why is Microsoft Stock $MSFT dropping hard? (TradingView)
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Microsoft just did what every impatient trader hates… after a massive rally, the candles are shrinking, emotions are rising, and here comes the correction everyone said 'couldn't happen.' Today I'll show you—using pure supply and demand—why MSFT is being magnetically pulled back into the monthly demand imbalance like a toddler to a candy shop. No fundamentals, no drama… just price action, imbalances, and patience. Let's dive in.
Microsoft Monthly Supply & Demand Analysis
After Apple's strong monthly correction setup, Microsoft (MSFT) is showing the exact same pattern — but even cleaner.
This is what I love when I teach traders to learn to trade stocks using pure price action and supply and demand imbalances. You don't need news, earnings, or any guru opinion — everything is already priced in at the higher timeframes. Just like I explained in the Supply and Demand Free Course , the bigger timeframes tell you what the professionals already did months ago.
Let's break it down.
Candles Shrinking = Momentum
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20.11.25 - 12:15
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MSFT — Daily & Weekly Structure Check (20 Nov 2025) (TradingView)
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Context
Price failed to clear $554–$555, the 1:1 measured move from the May flag.
A bearish double top formed on the daily; the downswing was kicked off by an island reversal.
Daily Structure
Today price lost $493–$492 (valley/neckline), confirming the double-top breakdown.
Volume confirms: heavier on down days, lighter on bounces.
Price is below the 5-day MA; the 21-day MA is acting as dynamic resistance.
The 50-day and 100-day MAs have also been lost, reinforcing intermediate weakness.
Weekly Context
The major trend remains intact above the longer MA, but the 21-day MA is now broken, aligning the weekly picture with daily weakness.
Key Levels
Resistance: $493–$492 (now breakdown/neckline); $554–$555 (measured-move cap).
Supports on the path lower: intermediate help from the 50/100-day MAs; the 200-day sits beneath the gap.
Target on confirmation: $430–$429 (top of the FVG) via a 1:1 measured move from the double-top.
Scenarios
Bearish continuation (primary): A weekly close below $493–$492 ke
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